Quake Watch 2014

reply to post by aorAki

I missed that 4.0 because geonet had it as 3.99 on the back data, so I didn't see the yellow icon, because it wasn't there, I hardly look at geonet's public pages any more, its all done by numbers and lines at my end now.
After you posted I had a look on the google map and found myself wandering from the Port Hills down to the city, the vacant lots are quite obvious from quite a height, terrible situation. Couldn't see as much out in the suburbs, maybe those areas aren't recent images.
I guess if anyone is ready for another crisis it would be Cantabrians, but then again another big one or a series of 5's might just push some people over the edge.

Hm, another 4.3 in Oklahoma:
M4.3 - 20km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 08:42:36 UTC

Location
36.140°N 97.616°W depth=5.0km (3.1mi)

It's been pretty active already today for that area.

4.3 20km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 08:42:36 UTC 5.0 km
3.6 20km NNW of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 08:10:31 UTC 3.2 km
3.5 21km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 08:07:05 UTC 6.0 km
3.3 19km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 06:59:29 UTC 5.2 km
4.3 21km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 06:51:56 UTC 5.0 km
3.5 21km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 06:37:44 UTC 4.3 km
3.5 21km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 03:55:33 UTC 5.0 km

USGS

reply to post by Nyiah


weird... not only there !..
YNR station at yellowstone shows since the late 3.9 in feb. an very unrestfull picture...there has to be something stirring up there
lots -lots of micro's and moore regulairy 2,5 and bigger...
any idee?

www.quake.utah.edu...

M 4.8 - 37km ENE of West Yellowstone, Montana
ShakeMap - VI
Time
2014-03-30 07:34:42 UTC-05:00
Location
44.773°N 110.660°W
Depth
5.0km


earthquake.usgs.gov... ain%22%2C%22autoUpdate%22%3Atrue%2C%22restrictListToMap%22%3Atrue%2C%22timeZone%22%3A%22local%22%2C%22mapposition%22%3A%5B%5B44.606601601162744%2C-110 .91224898118526%5D%2C%5B44.88749896597648%2C-110.47279585618526%5D%5D%2C%22overlays%22%3A%7B%22plates%22%3Atrue%7D%2C%22viewModes%22%3A%7B%22map%22%3A true%2C%22list%22%3Atrue%2C%22settings%22%3Atrue%2C%22help%22%3Afalse%7D%7D

Here's the Yellowstone action. It's near the earlier ones this week.
I'm editing and adding the newest seismos before edit window ends.
(I'm editing a third time because there's been a couple more burps)



And here's the Oklahoma action. Two 4+'s with lots of other smaller ones. (edit- make that three +4M)







Earlier this week, I was going to write about how worried I was by the couple near Grizzly Lake. The are close to Norris. I checked and found that the GPS for Norris was changing. But, I decided it may be not correct being that winter screws up much of the equipment. So, I thought maybe it was nothing. But, now I think this is something. It may be magma moving. Or steam. But I think it's fluid by way it looks on the webicorder. Here's Norris GPS.



Also, here's a different view of the same Norris seismo.






I'm sorry, I'm distracted by Yellowstone. Because Oklahoma is stupid. 14 with two above 4. But?! Yellowstone dominates my mind. Always. It's just too big to ignore.







A couple more thoughts. The California earthquake again shows the Americas are rocking. I would include this Yellowstone activity into the equation and the Idaho earthquakes. The earthquakes along the ring of fire on the America side is having inland earthquake along with those near the major faults in the Pacific. I'm only excluding Oklahoma because there is a fly in that ointment. I am afraid to think that something other than injection is at play. Although, I do have some suspicions. No, I think all of the last month's activity is connected. My utter guess, is that magma may be forced from west to east under the Americas. Whether by plate action or not. Some Central American and Chilean volcanoes are perking up a bit. At the very least, I think Yellowstone is being recharged. In some parts of the park the subsidence seems to be slowing. Only Norris is rising, and that's not confirmed.

The other thing I want to comment on is my tooth. I thought I had a cavity or something. No. I solved that mystery I think. I think my kid broke my tooth. Some weeks ago, he accidentally elbowed me in the jaw. It rung my bell, but at the time I thought it was no big deal. After it became infected, and after I realized it was loose, I then remembered that bone jarring jaw punch. Good job kid. Dentists- ugh.

reply to post by ericblair4891

Oklahoma is nutty. When you match the quakes with the injection wells, the connection is obvious. I really hope the Mag 5.7 a few years back is as big as they get there...I have this nagging doubt that it is, though.

Thanks for keeping us aware of the activity in OK/KS, Eric.

ETA:

ericblair4891

I'm sorry, I'm distracted by Yellowstone. Because Oklahoma is stupid. 14 with two above 4.

Make that now 3 quakes above Mag 4.....a few minutes ago Mag 4.4.

sooo. my feeling was right afterall about the old lady :-)

reply to post by ericblair4891

just don"t expect any HT tremors for yellowstone couse the chamber is already filled up only pressure is wat matters...

Yesterday saw a milestone for the past few years. The longest gap between mag 7 quakes was passed yesterday and today stands at a new record of 125 days. Before we started into this long stretch the average number of days between Mag 7 quakes was 19 days. Since I have been keeping record in 2009 I don't have any longer gaps and indeed the April to August gap or 2012 was a record breaker as far as I am concerned. The average has now been driven up to 28 days.

Click the image to enlarge

Actually there were no recorded Mag 7 quakes in 1967 at all it seems. If I get a chance I will investigate earlier years.

BO XIAN
reply to post by PuterMan

 

So, in order of probability from your QHS Quake Hunch Sense . . . what are the 3 areas you suspect may let loose first and mostest with a 7.0 and/or above?

I happen to be of the opinion that GIVEN ALL your pouring over such massive amounts of data for so long

THAT

YOUR fine noggin knows more than you realize you know about such things.

Trying to pry a bit of that out of your noggin. LOL.

Actually in the past few months I have not had my head buried in as much data as normal because my stress calculator got broken and I have not had time to fix it. I do look at global data but have not been monitoring specific areas for a while. In addition I have had my head in other interests, mainly the Mayo Male Voice Choir of which I am a member and we have a concert coming up in two weeks time, and I have to write an estimating program for someone so I have been a little bit busier than usual. You could say about three points past frenetic which is the normal pace.

Never the less my 'guess' is Chile high 7, lo 8 in April and either preceded or followed quickly by low to mid 7 in Santa Cruz/Vanuatu - looking at around April 21 just because there is more often one around that date than not. Since I am never normally right those areas should be pretty safe around then

Remember also that IEVPC are saying Philippines during 2014, but I have not investigated their reasoning.

reply to post by PuterMan


THX THX for your kind reply.

Prayer for your choir and other efforts.

Re the recent moderate [but higher than the recent usual?] Yellowstone quake. Do you think that's of any particular extra interest, or not?

The various sources of predictions seem to be getting more and more shrill about mega quakes. One would have thought that they reached the maximum of shrill long ago but I guess not.

All the best to you in your diverse endeavors. I'd send you some extra hours in the day, if I could. LOL.

reply to post by BO XIAN


Largest quake at Yellowstone since February 22, 1980.
Source

sageturkey
reply to post by BO XIAN

 

Largest quake at Yellowstone since February 22, 1980.
Source

Hmmmmmm . . . 34 years worth . . . a lot of water under the bridge since then!

I'll check your source. I wonder how long before that one 34 years ago since another that high.

Times are a changin' . . . regardless of how long it takes for the major traumas to get lit off . . . they seem to be looming closer and closer.

It seems to me that quakes are "only" a major area of reality that has tons of predictions of such the last 100 years.

Then there's the volcanoes, asteroids, globalist political generated war plans and stagings, etc. etc. etc.

For some reason . . . I'm realizing as I type this that I've long unconsciously assumed that quakes would be very major HARBINGERS of increasing traumas . . . vs the other options.

And I greatly appreciate PuterMan-Master-Quake-Jockey and Muzzy-Master-Quake-Jockey helping us END TIMES folks keep our feet on the ground. LOL.

And I'm totally convinced that it will be folks like PMMQJ & MMQJ that will scoop the experts and professional geologists in noticing trends and alterations in trends of quakes.

This thread is one of the major reasons I still bother with ATS. THANKS Y'ALL.

UPDATE to post by myself


Looking at data since 2000 the largest gap between Mag 7 quakes was in 2004 - 158 days

2004/02/07 02:42:35.21
2004/07/15 04:27:14.73

Then 2006 - 127 days

2006/08/20 03:41:48.04
2006/12/26 12:26:21.14

Again in 2007 - 128 days

2007/03/25 00:40:01.61
2007/08/01 17:08:51.40

Then the 2012 gap - 123 days
2012/04/12 07:15:48.50
2012/08/14 02:59:38.46

And last the current 125 day gap.

So these gaps are not unheard of but are not all that frequent

5.2 earthquake recorded near waipukarau in the north islands new Zealand.

www.stuff.co.nz... nd

Your turn to shake, huh, Muzzy?

Seems like the usual decay sequence now.

reply to post by bellagirl

and
reply to post by aorAki

can't say I felt it or the 14 aftershocks in the first half hour, a bit far from us on the other side of the mountains, but 2191 felt reports from all across the NI, strongest in Hawkes Bay.
www.geonet.org.nz...

This is the region they are talking about oil exploration coming to soon, perhaps fracking.
Note they DO have earthquakes now, so I don't want to hear any "fracking caused the earthquakes" cries when they eventually start drilling OK!



M4.6 @ 2:53:19 pm NZDT IN WAIPUKURAU!
moving inland fast!, Subduction series in action right now

edit:
M5.2 Blackhead, NZ, Interactive afteshock map of this


Pawanui Drum

geonet.org.nz...

data is changing by the minute, two 4.6's now, one was previously a 4.4 on that map, the one at 1:29UTC, and shifted from next to the 5.2 into Waipuk.

reply to post by muzzy

You have exceeded the maximum window of 4 hours allowed to edit your post.

HTF can that be? I have just uploaded and calculated the elapsed time since that quake and its only 2hrs 51 minutes
Moderators really need to fix that, makes it look like ATS can't add up numbers or tell what time it is.

Anyway here is an updated map of the Blackhead/Waipuk. M5.2 aftershocks. Between Waipuk. and Waipawa getting hammered with aftershocks,

this animation shows the difference between auto and reviewed



Useless out by 53km, not even in the right Province
geofon by 30km, but at least near Waipuk.
EMSC might be the correct one, right in amongst the Waipuk./Waipawa cluster, perhaps Geonet got it wrong having it out at Blackhead!

reply to post by SunnyDee

SunnyDee
4.7 here in So Cal Again!. Woke me up with a pretty good jolt, started out mild and then grew a bit so I hopped out of bed to make sure my house was gonna fall down....but it stopped.

That is the second earthquake in 2 days for me!

This small quake got a bit lost amid the Chilean eq activity, but I wanted to post a link to the SCSN executive summary of this quake.

Officially, they settled on it being a Mag 4.4 Mw, 8 kms deep, and dubbed it the Encino earthquake--3/17/2014.
From the report:

The moment tensor shows oblique strike-slip faulting, and the aftershocks create a linear feature that is on the nodal plane striking nearly N-S.

From an 18 March update near the bottom:

A causative fault is not immediately obvious for the M4.4 earthquake.....Small quakes can happen anywhere in southern California, and this quake was simply a reflection of the regional buildup of stress associated with the Pacific and north America plate motion.

*****************

I have a feeling they are going to come to the same conclusion for the La Habra earthquake and its aftershocks. To me, the focal mechanism nodal planes do not match up with a known fault; nor does the SW-NE trend of the aftershocks.
We'll see...

The ABC7 cam is giving out some funny readings. I really don't know much abut interpreting what I see, but i did notice a big change.
The horizontal line got very small 'squiggles' for some distance, then a thick black line only going down vertically...... all of the quake lines cross the vertical line, so I don't know what this means, if anything. Just nothing I've seen before.


To add: Can somebody look at the LONG, steady line of 'fuzz' that's registering and tell me if this is normal? Thanks!