Can China Invade Taiwan?, page 9

Can China re-take twain?

This question is being asked in many Western countries at the moment, the main reason for this is because of the consequences could lead to a third world war?

China has repeated stated that if twain goes ahead with its calling for independence, then it will be forced to re-take twain, despite if this meant suffering in their economy and even losing the Olympic games in 2008, In April 2003 when US forces invaded IRAQ, Chinese Generals proposed that china should invade while America is distracted. This was rejected but the fear is still there.

So hypertehcial, China announces its going to re-unite twain with china, this is going to be in the form of tactical missiles strikes against twain base�s, followed by an amphibious landing of Chinese tanks and troops, Once Chinese forces are on the Island, there is nothing that could be done to stop the forces from taking Twain, this is due to the fact that China has an army of more then 2m and Thousands more tanks, Planes, etc the one thing you may get is another Chechnya, with gorilla warfare being mounted against Chinese troops.

The problem is for the Chinese, I don�t think they could do it (in terms of military, not political) first of all, U.S has been surrounding China with the Missile Defence programme, EU, Australia, Japan etc, slowly a ring is being formed around China, therefore if the Chinese was to use a Missile strike to open the war, they would be shot down, also would like to use the fact that the US has developed Laser Technology that shoots down incoming missiles, which they sell to twain and other Allies.

Ships and troop movements, In the cold war, American had a problem in the fact that any advance into Berlin, There was not enough US forces to stop the Huge Russian army, American needed a way to slow down Russian Army movements in order to get forces from America to the EU, They would slow down the Russian forces with Aircraft and bombers, This is why the US spends so much money on aircraft and has the best aircraft in the world, so that they could slow down advancing armies, the same tactic would be used against china, American would take out Chinese ships, Aircraft carries, Transport Boats before they would even reach Twain, and to be honest I think any Air-war between China and the US, The US would win simply because they have the better Aircraft.

Ok, just say the Chinese actually do get onto Twain, (after getting heavy casualties from US planes) China Would not be able to fund a such a war, first of all, Chinese forces would be getting pounded from the air, having gorilla attacks against troops and having tanks smashed by US tanks, China is having major problems in terms of providing heath care for its Civilian Population, a slight outbreaks cause China to suffer with outrougues consequences, a war in which thousands of Chinese troops are wounded, could they provide the healthcare? No, which means the death rate would be very high and would have political implications, second of all, US forces have gone into Iraq and its cost the US more then $130 BILLION, and that�s to fight a third rate army, can china be able to spend the same amount on a war?

China could take Twain but would suffer heavily and it would become a another Chechnya, While the rest of the world would put trade blocks are China and screw over Chinese economy, so china might win the battle but by moving against Twain could cost china the second cold war before its fully started.