Yesterday OP announced Ulsterman was a liar about the Insider's prediction of resignations. He even alleged that the announcement a few hours later of
the resignation of Larry Summers could have been contrived, i.e. Either Ulsterman got wind of this and wrote an article after the fact, then claimed
prescience, or he changed dates on his publication. At least that's how I read this accusation. Of course, there is no evidence for this, but as is
often the case in these arguments, something that COULD have happened turns into something that DID happen. The same logic could be used for Obama's
birth. If he COULD have been born in Kenya, he WAS born in Kenya.. People don't like that one too much and are quick to point out how illogical it is.
Well, sauce for the goose and all....But let's look at this. here's what the Insider said (and I use "The Insider" almost metaphorically to
acknowledge that he may not exist.)
"And the ones who did voice concerns…they are, or will be, among the first to go. And it’s coming sooner rather than later."-- Sep
"WH divided as there are a number of them from the Clinton adm. Suspicions at all time high. -Name withheld- on way out. Should be announced
soon."-- Sep 21
This is where we enter into some controversy, because it was very soon after this publication hit the street that Larry Summers' resignation was
announced. The criticism is basically that the resignation was too close to the prediction to count as a prediction. Not to put too fine a point on
it, but this was the second time the Insider suggested there would be some resignations, the first being on the 18th. By him saying "sooner rather
than later" I take that to mean before the mid-terms instead of after. In any case, that begs the question. Was it Larry Summers' resignation that the
Insider meant on Sept. 21st? Summers was considered high up in the administration, I'm sure, but most people had never heard of him. Being Director of
the White House Economic Council sounds kind of obscure to me. But look who else resigned:
Sep 21: Larry Summers, Director White House Economic Council
Sep 24: David Axelrod, announced for 2011
Oct 1: Rahm Emanuel, Chief of Staff
Oct 8: Gen. James Jones, NSA
I would submit to you that the Insider probably was referring to Emanuel, not Summers. It's a much higher profile exit and no one I've read thinks
this was not forced and a result of tensions in the White House, particularly with Michelle Obama. Jones' resignation was considered surprising as
well, another high profile exit. Of course everyone has plausible deniability here. Emanuel is running for Mayor of Chicago. Axelrod is going to 'work
on Obama's reelection.' etc.
So, you see from the list here that the Insider's predictions that there would be some exits, i.e.: more than one, is absolutely true. He nailed it.
Now you can say, well, anyone could tell, but the thing is, Ulsterman wrote it down before the fact. Anyone who could tell did not.
There's one prediction I found that it looks like the Insider was wrong. here's what he said:
"Just prior to the midterm elections, a significant figure within the party is going to break out and talk publicly to the media about much of
what has and is going on both at the White House and Congress."-- Sep 27
I have not found any evidence that this happened, certainly not by any major figure within the party. If anyone can find this please post it. I'm
trying to track this stuff chronologically.
edit on 11/3/2010 by schuyler because: spelling, as usual