reply to post by murfdog
As I've mentioned before, buried in the aggregate numbers are some pretty scary specifics. While the current aggregate mortality number for the US is
0.5%, 170 deaths out of 33, 902 cases, if you look at specific states, the numbers are quite different.
The unaggregated numbers are:
Arizona: 1.31%, 10 out of 761
California: 1.06%, 21 out of 1985
Michigan: 1.45%, 7 out of 484
North Carolina: 0.78%, 2 out of 255
New Jersey: 0.78%, 9 out of 1159
New York: 1.76%, 44 out of 2499
Oregon: 1.09%, 4 out of 366
Utah: 1.07%, 10 out of 920
Aggregate mortality for the "hot" zones is 1.27%.
Am I crazy or is there a pattern developing here?
The true mortality of this seems to be at least 1% and rising.
If we assume a 30% infection load in the US, pretty conservative, I think, then at .78% mortality, the death load will be 877,500 US inhabitants: 375
millionX30%x.78%.
If we assume a 45% infection load at 1.76%, the death toll goes to 2.97 million people. 375 millionX45%X1.76%.
And that's just the in US using the
summertime mortality rates. It looks like, as is, there will be somewhere between approximately 900,000 to
nearly 3 million dead, without factoring in the multiplying effects of a bad economy and a probable collapse/overwhelming of the medical
establishment.
To those who keep thinking and saying this ain't much of a much, repeat it as you bury your dead, it might comfort you.
Me, I'm investing in coffin makers.
Pardon me while I go throw up: those numbers make me sick to my stomach.
[edit on 5-7-2009 by apacheman]
