Quake Watch 2013

Public ID 2013p574429
Universal Time August 1 2013 at 12:56:12
NZ Standard Time Friday, August 2 2013 at 12:56:12 am
Latitude, Longitude -41.79, 174.32
Intensity ? strong
Focal Depth 22 km
Magnitude 4.9
Location 25 km south-east of Seddon
www.geonet.org.nz...

only 322 reports, but it was at 1 a.m.
These 4.9's are quite big aftershocks at this stage (10 days), could be it has not run its course just yet and there may be another big quake in this series???

reply to post by PuterMan

geonets quake history shows it finalized at 4.9 on review
www.geonet.org.nz...

geofon has 5.1mb geofon.gfz-potsdam.de...
not sure how they are getting a bigger mb than ML on this
and the 4.9ML yesterday came out at 4. 9mb

Cook Strait 18-07-2013 to 01-08-2013
currently 2505 aftershocks since the first 5.7, 2254 since the 6.4888ML.
I haven't converted the latest download to icons yet, but this draft map plot shows the possible extent of the Fault(s) involved


probably means nothing without the existing known Faults marked too, but thats a huge task, its hard enough to create tracks on land where there are reference points like hills, valleys or rivers, but out at sea its just guesswork.
Unfortunately GNS do not have KML files of these offshore Faults.

sorry
double post
Telecom

reply to post by muzzy

probably means nothing without the existing known Faults marked too

Oh it means everything,now the things are clear,it's a fault pushing from the sea to inland,and the other one pushing from inland to the sea,this why,probably somewhere in the future we will have a big one offshore, not very far but not very close which will trigger a powerfull tsunami.



If you will look closer you will see the shore it has an arch shape oriented in land,and it has an lake and a laguna on sides almost the same size formed due to such phenomena of fault pressure in time,corroborated with the latest patern eq map you provided, the dismantle deformation of the faults are sinusoidal regarding the the direction as momentum,reported to the time,space pattern.

more on post by muzzy

maybe Geofon are right, looking at SNZO the more recent quake looks bigger, its 5km closer to SNZO but I doubt that would make that much of a difference as seen on the graph.
Need to check IRIS Quak, but have to go out now. Later

Tonga growing?

Magnitude M 6.1
Region TONGA
Date time 2013-08-01 20:01:42.0 UTC
Location 15.37 S ; 173.55 W
Depth 20 km
Distances 256 km SW of Apia, Samoa / pop: 40,407 / local time: 09:01:42.0 2013-08-01
216 km SW of Gataivai, Samoa / pop: 1,141 / local time: 09:01:42.0 2013-08-01

www.emsc-csem.org...

Originally posted by piequal3because14
Tonga growing?

Magnitude M 6.1
Region TONGA
Date time 2013-08-01 20:01:42.0 UTC
Location 15.37 S ; 173.55 W
Depth 20 km
Distances 256 km SW of Apia, Samoa / pop: 40,407 / local time: 09:01:42.0 2013-08-01
216 km SW of Gataivai, Samoa / pop: 1,141 / local time: 09:01:42.0 2013-08-01

www.emsc-csem.org...

this is not good.

too shallow

reply to post by BobAthome

this is not good.

too shallow

I see the same thing,and I have a feeling it will be downgraded,not all stations reported yet.

Originally posted by muzzy

Public ID 2013p574429
Universal Time August 1 2013 at 12:56:12
NZ Standard Time Friday, August 2 2013 at 12:56:12 am
Latitude, Longitude -41.79, 174.32
Intensity ? strong
Focal Depth 22 km
Magnitude [color=9E7BFF]4.9
Location 25 km south-east of Seddon
www.geonet.org.nz...

only 322 reports, but it was at 1 a.m.
These 4.9's are quite big aftershocks at this stage (10 days), could be it has not run its course just yet and there may be another big quake in this series???

Ha! upgraded! and shallower!
10:08:56hrs later

Public ID 2013p574429
Universal Time August 1 2013 at 12:56:13
NZ Standard Time Friday, August 2 2013 at 12:56:13 am
Latitude, Longitude -41.73, 174.32
Intensity ? severe
Focal Depth 6 km
Magnitude 5.2
Location 20 km east of Seddon
www.geonet.org.nz...

these automated machines are OK for a heads up, but useless for detail and accuracy

Originally posted by muzzy

Public ID 2013p574429
Universal Time August 1 2013 at 12:56:12
NZ Standard Time Friday, August 2 2013 at 12:56:12 am
Latitude, Longitude -41.79, 174.32
Intensity ? strong
Focal Depth 22 km
Magnitude 4.9
Location 25 km south-east of Seddon
www.geonet.org.nz...

only 322 reports, but it was at 1 a.m.
These 4.9's are quite big aftershocks at this stage (10 days), could be it has not run its course just yet and there may be another big quake in this series???

edit on 1-8-2013 by muzzy because: (no reason given)

What are your thoughts now on a bigger one coming now that the 4.9 has been upgraded further? Also, in the FE forum under here, theres a topic on a possible new fault running down the south island, possibly up to 1600kms, check it out (didn't want to link it in case the OP didn't appreciate me stealing his link rights - if that's even a thing ;p)

reply to post by bkaust


No question of not linking it. This needs to be seen by the Quake Watch inhabitants,

ATS thread: new tectonic fault system possibly identified s.e. of new zealand

This has Mag 9+ potential and if ratified is a major find and a major worry for New Zealand comparable to the Cascadia system..

ETA: This one I pointed to yesterday is right on that 'potential' fault line.

2013-08-01 14:19:44, -46.631, 170.716, 4.1, 12.5, Off E. Coast Of S. Island.

(didn't want to link it in case the OP didn't appreciate me stealing his link rights - if that's even a thing ;p)

if i ever post anything useful, i would never consider it stealing, link away =)

ignore me. brain farted.

Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by bkaust

 

No question of not linking it. This needs to be seen by the Quake Watch inhabitants,

ATS thread: new tectonic fault system possibly identified s.e. of new zealand

This has Mag 9+ potential and if ratified is a major find and a major worry for New Zealand comparable to the Cascadia system..

ETA: This one I pointed to yesterday is right on that 'potential' fault line.

2013-08-01 14:19:44, -46.631, 170.716, 4.1, 12.5, Off E. Coast Of S. Island.

edit on 2/8/2013 by PuterMan because: (no reason given)

Hmmm...from what I read, this is most likely a legacy of NZ separating from the continent(s), millions of years ago and non-active, much like an extinct volcano.

At least that's what I want to BELIEVE!

reply to post by SpaceJockey1

much like an extinct volcano

Extinct by whose standards? We say a volcano is extinct if it has not erupted in the Holocene - a paltry 11,000 years or so or 0.2112 seconds in Earth's day. (Some say 10,000 years)

How many 'extinct' volcanoes have come to life? Who knows, but you can bet that peoplekind has NOT been around long enough to find out.

A question: Do extinct faults have earthquakes?

Originally posted by bkaust

What are your thoughts now on a bigger one coming now that the 4.9 has been upgraded further?

The chances of a bigger one are higher today than they were 3 days ago.
The last two mag 5's have been further south than the main mag 5.7, 5.8, 6.5 series,now breaking off Cape Campbell, on the "known" London Hill fault offshore section.

Also, in the FE forum under here, theres a topic on a possible new fault running down the south island, possibly up to 1600kms, check it out

(didn't want to link it in case the OP didn't appreciate me stealing his link rights - if that's even a thing ;p)

I posted a reply there
www.abovetopsecret.com...

as its says under my Avatar
Mood: skeptical

reply to post by muzzy

The chances of a bigger one are higher today than they were 3 days ago.

And lower than they will be tomorrow.

reply to post by Phage


Unless the big one is today, then tomorrow will just suck.

reply to post by Phage

indeed.
The number of quakes are falling but the sizes are not.
sitting here at 7:15am with every creak of our wooden house my ears twitch waiting for the shake