reply to post by SeekThefacts
If you want to send a warning, you do keep your cards hidden, from the PUBLIC.
But so you don't start WWIII, you would want to secretly alert the opposition.
And as I have pointed out before, the problem with the plane
argument is that it does not explain NORAD's lie about what it was. If it were
just a plane or even an off course U.S. missile, NORAD would have just said so!
They KNOW it was a hostile missile launch and were ordered to keep it quiet so
that the public reaction would be minimized and NOT force the US to escalate
Boondocks scenario makes perfect sense. It is the only one I have seen that explains all the known facts.
I will add the following hypothesis to his scenario:
The Chinese are very upset with recent U.S. monetary
decisions (and maybe military actions too) and the tipping point was Bernanke’s
decision to print more money. They needed to make an unmistakable protest.
The Chinese notified the US Government both publicly and
secretly of this fact but secretly added that to show their displeasure they
would conduct a missile test off the US West coast in the near future. They
probably hinted at a location near LA for reasons that will become obvious.
The logical launch platform would have been the
Type 94 submarine, the newest nuclear
powered submarine class which is undergoing testing.
The missile would have been the
JL-2 SLBM, capable of carrying a Single
or MIRV; ~10 (max) Nuclear 250 kt /thermo warhead. However, since this missile is just becoming
operational, the missile that was actually launched most likely contained a
dummy/test warhead.
With the Chinese diplomatic/military warning, U.S. forces
would have had sufficient time to get interceptor type missiles ready to launch
from the Pt. Magu Naval Facility, more specifically
the facility at
San Nicholas
Island, 60 miles off shore west of LA. Those interceptor missiles would
almost certainly include the Army’s [
MIM-194 Patriot ABM system.
Although more esoteric missiles that are being developed for the
Ballistic
Missile Defense Organization cannot be excluded.
As the Chinese SSBM moved into position, especially with
a military warning, it is quite likely that it was detected by Navy
SOSUS sensors and was even
being
tracked by a U.S. Navy SSN attack submarine.
The SLBM missile was probably aimed at or near an area
that China uses to test missiles so that Chinese sensors could be used to
monitor the ‘test’. The Chinese submarine launched the missile, but since the launch
was in international waters, all the U.S. SSN could do was watch and report the
action to U.S. National Command Authorities. The U.S. submarine would most
likely have been warned of the potential missile launch too and told NOT to
take further action.
The ABM system radars on San Nicholas Island would have
picked up the launch almost instantly, and one interceptor missile would have
been launched within a minute. As Boondock suggests,
the interceptor missile apparently caused significant damage to the SLBM, but
not enough to destroy it or knock it wildly off course. At the same time, NORAD’s
Defense Support
Program satellites would have been reporting a missile launch and providing
an IR track, a missile type and launch azimuth within a minute of launch. NORAD’s
PAVE PAWS phased array
radar at
Beale AFB, CA
would have received the launch warning and also it’s own detection capabilities would have caused it
to start a RADAR track on the SLBM (and the interceptor missile too for that
matter). It is probable that both the SSN and the facilities at San Nicholas Island
got high resolution video of both missile launches and the attempted intercept.
The missile probably did land in China’s missile test
area or failed and just crashed into the ocean.
So with all US sensor systems confirming that the predicted event just happend, no further military acton was needed.
So NOW US political and military authorities are well
aware of China’s displeasure and their military capacity. But neither China nor
the US want the event to be publicized. That would add little value and if it
happened could provoke an escalation. It is much better for NORAD to take the
heat and say they don’t know what ‘it’ was. Just like NORAD got a lot of blame
after 911.
So only Chinese and U.S. leaders (political and military)
really know what happened. Plus military personnel on the SSN and San Nicholas
Island, and various NORAD sensors,
Plus of course US here on ATS. But
we’re just conspiracy nuts anyway, right?
The only possible flaw I see in this scenario would be
the time for a Chinese SSBN to get into position with a presumably dummy/test
warhead within a few days of Bernanke’s announcement. But it is quite probable
that China and many other countries had private/secret advanced warning by the
U.S. Government as a typical ‘feeler’.
We should probably spend some effort to confirm or deny this scenario.