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originally posted by: Vroomfondel
With the present rate of increase and the fact that it has moved into major cities with international airports, and the fact that symptoms can take up to three weeks to show up, it really is just a matter of time before this bug goes Hollywood. It will take some ridiculous efforts from every country involved to stop this without making significant advances. We cant even get multiple nations to work together on something that's fun. No way we will ever see the cooperation and resources necessary to stop this coming from a multinational effort. There is too much inclination to let the other guy handle the heavy part. Even in the face of disaster instead of stepping out of the way they will stand there yelling for help that isn't coming.
originally posted by: Vroomfondel
a reply to: clenz
Haha...well, I would rather find a way to get people to work together toward a common goal. Especially when that goal is beneficial to so many. It would be nice to think humanity can start thinking bigger. If people could take down the borders for a while, just for a while, and start working like one planet, maybe we could make some serious gains. "The enemy of my enemy is my friend". If we are all enemies of ebola, then we should all be friends, at least until we kick it's virus ass. Then we can go back to hating on each other and worrying about who has the most money or the shiniest car/girlfriend/wristwatch/whatever.
originally posted by: Vroomfondel
a reply to: clenz
Haha...well, I would rather find a way to get people to work together toward a common goal. Especially when that goal is beneficial to so many. It would be nice to think humanity can start thinking bigger. If people could take down the borders for a while, just for a while, and start working like one planet, maybe we could make some serious gains. "The enemy of my enemy is my friend". If we are all enemies of ebola, then we should all be friends, at least until we kick it's virus ass. Then we can go back to hating on each other and worrying about who has the most money or the shiniest car/girlfriend/wristwatch/whatever.
There's a 20% chance the disease could be here this month, but experts are optimistic that the U.S. could handle it. 'We would not expect any real transmission,' co-author Ira Longini said.
It's an awful, but an important story and it's a difficult one to cover.
The region has all been all but locked down. Land borders have been sealed and flights have been cancelled. There is no way to fly from Kenya to Sierra Leone, Guinea or the hardest hit country, Liberia.
What We’re Afraid to Say About Ebola
....The first possibility is that the Ebola virus spreads from West Africa to megacities in other regions of the developing world.
....The second possibility is one that virologists are loath to discuss openly but are definitely considering in private: that an Ebola virus could mutate to become transmissible through the air. You can now get Ebola only through direct contact with bodily fluids. But viruses like Ebola are notoriously sloppy in replicating, meaning the virus entering one person may be genetically different from the virus entering the next. The current Ebola virus’s hyper-evolution is unprecedented; there has been more human-to-human transmission in the past four months than most likely occurred in the last 500 to 1,000 years. Each new infection represents trillions of throws of the genetic dice.
If certain mutations occurred, it would mean that just breathing would put one at risk of contracting Ebola. Infections could spread quickly to every part of the globe, as the H1N1 influenza virus did in 2009, after its birth in Mexico.
Why are public officials afraid to discuss this? They don’t want to be accused of screaming “Fire!” in a crowded theater....
This is about humanitarianism and self-interest. If we wait for vaccines and new drugs to arrive to end the Ebola epidemic, instead of taking major action now, we risk the disease’s reaching from West Africa to our own backyards.
Michael T. Osterholm is the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota.