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During the great Michigan UFO "wave" in 1966, Hynek had an interesting encounter with a UFO.One evening during his visit he was in a police cruiser when a UFO report came over the radio. Several police vehicles converged on an intersection, and officers leaped out pointing and shouting excitedly at the mystery object. Hynek, the professional astronomer, recognized it as the star Arcturus. The episode, he said, was a 'sobering demonstration' to him
Originally posted by rigel4
ET UFO's are not real.
Originally posted by rigel4
My thread is to attempt to deny Ignorance.
Originally posted by rozetta
Let's examine the most probable scenario.
1) Life exists somewhere else in the universe. This is so statistically probable that we can assume it to be true. Given the size of the universe, it's statistically probably that intelligent life exists elsewhere. Most likely, given the age of the universe compared to the age of our planet, more advanced civilizations exist somewhere. Odds of this drop just a little if we consider only our galaxy.
2) The distances between stars are measured in light years. The distances between galaxies are in the hundreds of thousands (and more) light years.
3) Radio waves cannot travel faster than the speed of light.
4) We have been generating radio wave transmissions for just over a century.
5) We will probably cease generating radio wave transmissions within the next century, due to technological progression.
6) The age of this planet is 4.5 billion years. Humans have been around for several hundred thousand years. we have been technological for less than a few hundred.
Putting this together, we need to hit a window in which our radio transmissions are picked up intelligent aliens in relatively nearby planets (about a hundred light years). They need to be within the same level of technology as us or higher. The space-flight travel time from even a nearby star to here is most likely in the order of hundreds of years, assuming technology far, far superior to our own. Now, to compete the scenario, we have to assume that one of the few nearby stars (less than 50 light years) was where we happened to hit the astronomically low probability of that star having an inhabitable planet with intelligent life that happened to be at a similar or more advanced stage of technology to us, and was listening to radio waves in the right spot in the sky immediately when we started making noise, so that they could pop by for a visit. And then we have to assume that after making the monumental trek over here to visit us, that they decided it wasn't worth saying "hi" after all.
I'd going to have to side with the OP. If we had irrefutable proof of Extra Terrestrial visits to our planet, the whole world would already know, it would be a given fact and probably you'd learn about it in school.
Not all governments are in collaboration with the Americans to keep everything a secret all the time - ETs could easily just go say "hi" outside of the US. Given the amazing technology they'd have needed to get here, I'm quite positive it's not a problem for them to visit any country on Earth.edit on 10/10/2011 by rozetta because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by stephanies-chase
reply to post by rigel4
I have a better Idea...prove that they are not real and if you can't...ban yourself.
Originally posted by Helmkat
OP, While I am not an expert, I would say your argument is
Argument from ignorance
I'm surprised moderators don't just close these threads right away, pointing them to the countless other clones.
In case you didn't get the memo, I repeat, it is the DoD who did the investigation! They don't have any more explanations on what those 5% of UFOs are. Whatever you suspect them to be, the DoD have already considered them. They are not that dumb not to start with the obvious.
Originally posted by yeti101
reply to post by wavemaker
why are aliens a logical conlcusion? we dont even know life exists on other planets never mind intelligent life never mind ETIs with the ability to travel here. You might aswell say flying unicorns are a logical answer.
A logical answer would be something mundane. In most of these cases there's insufficent evidence to come to a conclusion. A lot of the time its purely eye witness testimony they're going from and that is extremely prone to error.
Heres a good example from ufo investigator j allen hynek.
During the great Michigan UFO "wave" in 1966, Hynek had an interesting encounter with a UFO.One evening during his visit he was in a police cruiser when a UFO report came over the radio. Several police vehicles converged on an intersection, and officers leaped out pointing and shouting excitedly at the mystery object. Hynek, the professional astronomer, recognized it as the star Arcturus. The episode, he said, was a 'sobering demonstration' to him
edit on 10-10-2011 by yeti101 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by wavemaker
I will repeat this saying posted by another poster:
"Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."
Originally posted by rigel4
Originally posted by wavemaker
I will repeat this saying posted by another poster:
"Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."
I really hate this phrase, it is nothing more than a cop out.
if something exists there is evidence. If something doesn't exist then it is
deemed "non existent". Anything else is simply making it up to suite the
agenda.