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Originally posted by jude11
reply to post by kybertech
Thanks for your input.
I quite agree with your statement and yes these would be in extreme times.
I posted this in another thread and thought it was interesting enough for here also.
What I find interesting is not really the message (Although there are many that adhere to this school of thought) but rather the source. This man is no fool.
Quite simply he states that those holding paper/bonds will lose and the winners will be holders of physical in both forms.
Anyway, it's always to take into consideration everything we can.
Originally posted by LS650
I'm not convinced the move up is solid yet. I'm not in a hurry to buy more silver, so I will wait until later this week to see what happens...
I'm not convinced the move up is solid yet. I'm not in a hurry to buy more silver, so I will wait until later this week to see what happens...
Lately, everyone and their grandmother speaks with 100% conviction that over the past week what happened in the silver market was nothing but a speculative bubble popping. After all, 5 consecutive margin hikes would mean that uber-levered terrorist speculators must have been scrambling with the urgency of an E-trade baby checking his voicemail and getting 99 margin call messages. So certain seems to be conventional wisdom in this allegation that nobody appears to have even checked the facts. Well, we did. For that we went to the usual place that provides a definitive breakdown of speculative indications: the CFTC's Commitment of Traders report, and specifically the non-commercial specs which after netting shorts from longs would be expected to be at some parabolically unseen level ever in the history of the CFTC. Much to our surprise we found this...
Chart
Yes: according to the CFTC, the level of non-speculative net longs in silver is, in the week ending May 3, at the lowest since July 28, 2009. So while one could speculate that silver may have been in some pseudo-bubble back in October 2010, when net specs hit over 50,000 contracts, the most recent reading of 23,354, which is merely the latest in a downward sloping trend starting in February, alas throws a lot of very cold water over the whole silver bubble popping thesis.
And yes, going forward we urge readers to always check with primary sources such flamboyant claims as those uttered every single day by the CNBC peanut gallery about record this and bubble that. Oddly enough, nobody on CNBC will ever mention that the one true bubble continues to be in stocks, where the net speculative leverage on the NYSE as expressed by surging margin debt total and declining positive investor net worth, is at the second lowest ever, meaning investors are more levered into the beta rally than just one time in history: the very peak of the credit/housing bubble in 2007!
Originally posted by jude11
reply to post by stephinrazin
Nice find but what's your take on it?
Curious to see what others are thinking about this "Bubble" theory.
Thanks!
Originally posted by Shenon It (silver) can only go up now...
Originally posted by LS650
Originally posted by Shenon It (silver) can only go up now...
That's what a lot of folks thought two or three weeks ago - right before it fell 30%.
That's what a lot of folks thought two or three weeks ago - right before it fell 30%.
The last time CEF traded at this big of a discount was 2001 when gold bottomed at $250 an ounce.
HKMex Begins Trading 1KG Gold Futures on May 18; Physical Delivery in Hong Kong
May 10th, 2011
Via: Commodity Online:
The Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange (HKMEx) has received authorisation from the Securities and Futures Commission and will make its trading debut on May 18, 2011 with the 1-kilo gold futures contract offered in US dollars with physical delivery in Hong Kong.
The ATS authorisation grants HKMEx the right to offer market participants, through its member firms, the use of its state-of-the-art electronic platform to trade commodities. The Exchange will begin trading with at least 16 members including some of the world’s largest financial institutions as well as several well-established brokerages in Hong Kong.
“We are very excited about this historic day. It allows us to establish a liquid and vibrant international commodities exchange based in Hong Kong, linking China with the rest of Asia and the world,” said Barry Cheung, chairman of HKMEx. “Global demand for core commodities has in recent years been driven by Asia, especially China and India. However, market participants in the region have had to rely on Western exchanges for price discovery, bearing the basis risk exposure in the process. Our new platform will offer Asia a bigger say in setting global commodity prices. It will also enable market participants to more actively manage their risk exposures, using products tailored to Asian market needs.”
Originally posted by LS650
Originally posted by Shenon It (silver) can only go up now...
That's what a lot of folks thought two or three weeks ago - right before it fell 30%.
Couple days ago I bought Central Fund of Canada (CEF New York) The Central Fund of Canada is a fund that holds gold, silver, and platinum. The advantage of this fund to a normal ETF is that it is a closed-end fund so it trades above and below its Net Asset Value