posted on May, 21 2010 @ 10:22 AM
I can't agree with your reasoning in your thread.
Most countries are aware of the might of the US Forces and their ability to retaliate with extreme violence. That keeps the peace with many
If an aggressive war is to be wages I see the following scenarios being played out.
North Korea launches an attack on the South. Very quickly large parts of the South are overrun, US Forces are swamped, and threats by China and
Russia force the US to refrain from using nuclear or other high impact weapons. After a period of one to two months confusion a ceasefire is agreed
and US Forces withdraw to Japan and the US mainland. North Korea then completes its takeover of the South. However, resistance forces are such that
the regime collapses and the Korean people reunite under their own impetus. The resulting chaos of regime change is such that Korea is wiped out as
an economic force for a decade or so while they restructure the economy. They refuse the US re-entry to their country for failure to defend them.
The US creates such an atmosphere of fear and suspicion over Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan, and the rest of the middle east. Eventually they stage a "Gulf
of Tonkin" style of incident and use it as an excuse to retaliate and wipe Tehran, or other important site, off the face of the planet. NATO falls
apart as the US didn't inform the other members of their intentions, the Russians and Chinese both threaten to retaliate if any further action takes
place. Europe steps up to act as arbitrators and refuses to take part militarily. The US retreats into isolationism. There is a resurgence of the
old style regimes in the Russian Federation, and the Chinese start to spread their influence over South East Asia. Europe is pressured into accepting
direction from the reformed USSR and the Chinese, but in reality this part of the world is being run by oligarchs and criminal elements. Society in
Europe descends into feudalism.
Now isolated the US and Canada merge, taking Mexico and the Caribbean countries with them into a North American alliance. In South America the drug
cartels rule supreme, but for most people little happens to their day to day lives.
Africa as ever suffers at the hands of others.
The result is a realignment of powers, the re-emergence of the old style communist regimes but across a much larger area. International trade
collapses, food production collapses, and the world slips back into a kind of post-technological dark ages for a hundred years or so.
Sad thing is it's all bollocks really, I have no proof, no concept of global politics, it's just my paranoid imagination running riot.
I should get out more!