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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:02 AM by samureyed
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OK people look...
I hate to buy into the road flares as well but it is a logical explanation.
A road flare weighs approximately 8oz
Source from this PDF
Which means it is roughly a half of pound
If a 3 foot diameter balloon can lift 0.9 pounds, then a 2 foot balloon could lift 0.5 pounds.
In the end these could actually be flares on balloons, it sucks i know.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:22 AM by Forell
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reply to post by Mark Roazhar
Aamen. What really kills ufology and makes it so much harder to investigate are the "i want to believe so much that i ignore everything else"
people. Every seagul photo is alien and every strange looking rock in the moon is a humanoid or alienbase. Mind should be open, but not open like a
toilet seat banging in the wind. Healthy sceptism is needed and consideration of the earthly explanations first. Usually the more likely simplest
explanation is true. Not always, but most of the time.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:45 AM by St Udio
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If one were to use a more substantial helium lifting device other than a kids 'party balloon'...
and one were to tie several of the 2 cubic foot helium filled balloons together in a series some 10 yards apart with something like 50lb fishing
line...
and crimp on fishing clips to secure several light weight, 2 AA battery electronic-flares. (seen here)
www.familydefense.com...
i bet the observed 'Formations' could be seen in an 8pm sky.
people would not notice the lit up electronic flares until they were high enough above the city skyline to be prominant...
at low altitude the lights-on-balloons would be caught in the confusion of
streeet lights & high rise buildings and the 'haze' of the Phoenix city.
Only when the drifting lights were 2-3000 ft altitude would they become noticeable to the valley dwellers.
a good out of the way launch site (also being East) of Deer Valley and Scottsdale airports might be the Granite Reef Dam parking area for the
Salt River tubing enthusiests...
or perhaps Fountain Hills.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 09:23 AM by A SINCLAIR
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Its true that the huge desire to believe sometimes does cloud sound judgment. HOWEVER this witness to come out makes me wonder. First of all if it
was a hoax it screams of fire hazard. I mean at the very least it was reckless. We are post 911 and we have seen the damage that wildfires pose. To
think that someone would admit to something like this seems dubious. The other thing is that the neighbor got on camera and pointed this person out.
Is he not worried about any reprisals? I mean it's one thing for a neighbor to tell a police officer and quite another to point him out on national
television. Also take a look at his son in the background who looks very nervous. Im not sure what to think at this point. It might have been flares
but something to me seems off. I will feel a lot better if this person is IDENTIFIED and brought up on some charges.
AS-
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 09:34 AM by 27jd
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Originally posted by Forell
What really kills ufology and makes it so much harder to investigate are the "i want to believe so much that i ignore everything else" people.
I dunno about that. Sure, there are some who won't let go, and that can be annoying. But people that pretend to be interested in UFO's, yet jump on
the "Occam's razor" EVERY time something is witnessed that is out of the ordinary, do some damage to ufology as well. It's funny how some were
positive that they were Chinese lanterns, but now, road flares tied to balloons is the "obvious" explanation. The funnier thing is, some of the
people willing to believe what anonymous people and the news claim, are the SAME ones who constantly doubt the MSM and anonymous sources on other
issues such as the war. Also, some of the same people who say things like "i want to believe so much that i ignore everything else" critical of
those who believe that aliens visit the earth, are probably religious types, the ironly is not lost on me. Like I said, I wasn't jumping on any
bandwagon here. I still want to know why the man wasn't charged.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 09:49 AM by Mark Roazhar
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reply to post by A SINCLAIR
There is the point that his neighbor ratted him out, which was shown previously actually pointing out to the reporter the house, who was doing it, and
where he was launching from.
Then, the reporter just walks over to the house of the guy who is quietly s**tting himself because of it, and "says how about an interview to explain
why you did it?"
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 10:26 AM by D_Hoffman
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Originally posted by Beefcake
IMO they could not of held formation for that long if they were flares tagged to balloons its just stupid and who is this guy i haven't seen him and
no one knows his name much less his neighbors name that said he saw the guys send it up. I want to see an interview with the guy and his neighbor the
witness.
See Lost_Mind's post, posted on 4/23/2008 @ 12:22 It's a TV interview with the neighbor, Lino Mailo, who saw the guy sending the balloons up.
I also wouldn't think balloons not tethered together could hold formation either. But, way back in grade school, a few times the teachers had us
write some info on cards and attach them to helium balloons and yet them all go. When we let all 30 go, most of them stayed together for the most
part. I'd say the odds of something heavier staying together in somewhat calm winds would be pretty good.
As for the story, the alternative would be that the neighbor and "the guy" are govt plants, or paid off to make up the story. For 4 lights in the
sky? Way too much effort to cover something that unremarkable up.
On the scale of believability, I'll go with the flare story.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 10:36 AM by polomontana
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The case is far from closed. You can always come up with an excuse days after the fact especially with todays technology.
What the pseudoskeptic desires is an explanation that fits his pre-existing belief system. This video has to be examined by a professional not people
saying it's this or that.
You can always find "consistent characteristics" with something if you give it enough time. What you will never here the pseudoskeptic talk about is
the inconsistent characteristics. A truth seeker will look at both. If there isn't any characteristics inconsistent with lanterns or flares and this
same situation can be reproduced then you have lanterns and flares. If there is characteristics inconsistent with these things then you don't.
You know people are not seeking the truth but they are seeking answers that satisfy what they already believe. This is why they are so quick to say
case closed and lets move on. It's really silly and an affront to logic.
The pseudoskeptic is always talking about the "SCIENTIFIC METHOD" when it comes to Ufology but the "SCIENTIFIC METHOD" is thrown out of the window
when it comes to pictures and video.
All someone has to do is yell fake, weather balloon, flare or something else and without any evidence the skeptic believes it. This shows a desire to
satisfy a pre-existing belief not to seek the truth.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 10:52 AM by Desert Dawg
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I don't see a problem with a guy setting up a hoax that incorporated LEDs or somthing similar where there is no fire danger.
The road flare bit is tremendously dangerous in an area with a lot of brush and dry grasslands.
Not to mention if it landed on a dried out shake roof.
I believe the next bit of news that will come out of this is that the guy who launched the flares is arrested.
I hope so, before some more clowns are tempted to do the same thing.
A year of weekends hoeing brush in the foothills would be a suitable punishment methinks....
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 11:30 AM by Xcalibur254
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I know I'm probably going to get a lot of flak for what I'm about to say, but why are you wasting so much effort on this case? If this happened any
place else it would've most likely been discounted days ago. Just look what happened with the Florida case, everybody pretty much ignored it when it
was presented. There's not really anything in this video that stands out as truly amazing. Even if this doesn't turn out to be the given explanation
it's still just going to end up in a pile of videos that you look at and say "Huh. That's interesting," and then move on. There's no way to
verify 100% what these were and as such they will never change anybody's mind from what they already believe. There are probably cases out there more
worthy of attention, but everyone seems to be focused on a case that won't be solved with what we have been given so far. So, instead of arguing the
same points over and over again, why don't we all just step back and wait for any other evidence to emerge and in the meantime direct out attention
to areas that are more productive?
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 12:18 PM by 27jd
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reply to post by Desert Dawg
My thoughts exactly. Anybody who lives here knows you can start a brush fire just by staring at it long enough. That and it was released in an area
with lots of small aircraft traffic, an area where red lights are placed on mountains to direct them. People could have been killed. A police
helicopter was even supposedly involved, in which case, it's almost impossible to believe the man was not arrested for pulling a stunt that was both
illegal and incredibly dangerous. Arrests were made in the case of those Aqua Teen Hunger Force ads in Boston that freaked everybody out but posed no
threat whatsoever, so how can this just be laughed off?? The authorities would want to make it VERY clear that such crap is not tolerated, to avoid
copycats. That's why the explanation seems so fishy to me.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 12:26 PM by cindymars
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reply to post by InterestedObserver
They may also be from Fallen Angelic origins, so discernment is crucial, even if the sighting really was UFO's and not a hoax. The color not such a
positive indication for me, RED???? That is again if they were genuine.
Edited to add: I for one do not think this was a genuine event. The one on
March 13, 1997, I do however believe was the real deal.
[edit on 24-4-2008 by cindymars]
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 12:49 PM by 27jd
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Originally posted by cindymars
Edited to add: I for one do not think this was a genuine event. The one on
March 13, 1997, I do however believe was the real deal.
On a similar note, somebody on this thread pointed out that this possible hoax may also be used to discount the 97 event...on this link, that
may not be too far off base since they used a pic, on the front page, from the 97 event on the story about last monday....
news.ktar.com...
Again, until the man is arrested, I have a hard time believing this explanation.
Edit to add link:
www.nationalledger.com...
Apparently I'm not the only one who feels this way.
[edit on 24-4-2008 by 27jd]
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 01:50 PM by turbosciencewig
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finally saw the video. If they were tethered togeter, then why don't the lights ever move together? the tethers only work ONE way. The lights looked
like they were fixed to one ridged unit. (however, I only saw very short clips. Please direct me to unscrubbed versions)
Also the lights are disc shaped. If they were sky lanterns you'd see the volumetric fade from the greatest light intesity source to top of the
lantern. nothing like that in the video. The light sources appear to be flat disks.
And if they were flares, you should see a perfect circle of illumination, not a disk shape. Flares burn in a 360 degree, so from the distance these
were shot, you would see the 2D circular shape of a spherical illumination pattern.
Anyone ever see a C-130 drop anti missle flares? When I lived in Gulf Breeze there were people who thought these were UFO's But when you see them
it's pretty obvious they are flares. The biggest obvious reason is that they DO NOT emit a clean steady light. The light from a flare is intermitant
as the element is burned. They are not a precision instrument.
And DAMN! Where are these people getting ballons that can lift a FLARE? Tell me, and I'll do the same hoax in Atlanta!
Also, Flares have intense heat! So are you telling me that they hoaxer balanced these flares perfectly so the that flame ALWAYS stayed away from the
fishing line? Eventually the flare would tip either down or up depending on how it was ballanced. And all that heat going up would melt the line. And
remember as the element of the flare burns, the weight of the flare changes!
So LED's. OK, lets see the "wreckage" from all this. Let's see this recreated.
Still to me, they are lights in the sky. Interesting lights, but still just lights.
But if you just want to accept Meridith Viera saying, "It was a Hoax", great! Like I said, if we believed what was on TV, this site wouldn't exist.
But when a guy is a pilot & states that these were not flares, I take that over the damage control big media anyday of the week.
Now that story with Meridith & the probe type UFO pics that are clear as day! Gimmie a break! I could produce those shots with 3D Studio MAX and
photoshop in less than a day!!
At the same time, I truely believe that if I had video of everything I've seen, (I stopped counting after 30 sightings), pretty much no one would
accept it. So to me, the whole thing about catching a UFO on video now is subject to the ILM theory. What I mean by that, is that a PC is so powerful
now, you can take some good software and MAKE a ufo video.
What makes a sighting valid to me are multiple wittnesses, and GOOD wittnesses. I think cops, pilots & ex-military are good witnesses.
Also, I know some people in Pensacola FL, who have very good video of UFOs, but they refuse to release it to the public. The main reason is that they
have lives & businesses. The media is set up, (and I have to include the debunkers as part of the problem here), to ridicule & debase the people who
come forward. With that said. how much footage do you think is out there that won't be release because of fear of ridicule or loss of business?
I always follow the money on stuff like this. If the newest Phoenix lights are a hoax, who stands to gain from that hoax.
I don't really care if I am in the minority on my ability to see UFO's. I've always been very observant. When I was in the Marines, I saw a Ninja
in Japan, and no one believes that either. (He scampered on a wire & flipped back in the other direction in 2.5 seconds.) Crazy story but it happened.
I was the only one who saw it.
I'm all about debunking crap UFO footage. I supose it's because I've seen them, and it yanks my yodeler to see crap presented as anything close to
what I've seen. This is almost as bad as a guy who tells me he was in the Marines, in the 6th Marine Division. And I told him, "Dude...there are
only 4 divisions."
Hope this gives everyone something to think about
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 03:35 PM by 27jd
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Interesting update...
PHOENIX - Police will not investigate the mysterious lights seen flickering in the sky.
*snip*
The man interviewed, who asked not to be identified, said he believed turbulence created by a passing jet caused the balloons to move around.
www.azfamily.com...
Makes me doubt this explanation even more. No investigation huh? Even though the stunt, if true, would have put lives and property in serious danger.
I kinda figured that if it was a BS story to discount the sighting, there would be no investigation. So it's okay to send burning magnesium into the
path of passing jets? What a crock...
[edit on 24-4-2008 by 27jd]
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 04:16 PM by turbosciencewig
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OK, I saw a few videos from April 21st. Also saw the one with "THE GUY" who did it.
Just want to actually see footage of a flare in the sky held up by a balloon. Why didn't they do their own test & show it compared to the UFO
footage? Maybe because it would be impossible to do.
And now no investigation?
But with the way that lady was freaking out, maybe it would be better for her, if they were balloons & flares.
That was definately some serious altitude, so I wonder how far away you'd have to let a balloon go to get it up that high?
Also, would a common balloon be able to go that high? Wouldn't the latex get cold and brittle?
Who knows? If that is what was done, it sure looked cool!
Also, that rose colored light seemed a lot closer to the lights I saw in Gulf Breeze. And the flares I saw were more amber and less rosey.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:01 PM by TheJosh
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The light's "flickered" so the flare theory could be real, but I am still VERY skeptical about it.
I am going to recreate this, but not with road flares, I plan to use something more safe, like cheap flashlights tied to balloons or similar.
We are going to see if we can tie the balloons together in a shape, and if they will stay like that.
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:18 PM by InterestedObserver
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Originally posted by TheJosh
I am going to recreate this, but not with road flares, I plan to use something more safe, like cheap flashlights tied to balloons or similar.
No please don't. That is a horrible idea, what if once the balloon popped the flashlight fell and injured somebody?
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:33 PM by TheJosh
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Then that is their problem for standing under my balloon.
I'll wrap the flash lights in bubble wrap, will that make you happy?
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reply posted on 24-4-2008 @ 08:49 PM by InterestedObserver
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Sure will! As long as I can pop some of the bubbles, I love bubble wrap  .
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