posted on Jul, 19 2015 @ 09:50 PM
The op believes that if Trump runs as an independent he could win the election. Here is the problem to that and why if he does, it will go badly for
him and the Republican Party and here is why:
If history serves as proof to this, one need only look at the last time something like this happened. It was an election unlike any other. There
were 4 candidates that were running. On independent who did not really win, one Democrat, and 2 republicans. However, one of them was not happy, and
he ran as another party, and then it ended up splitting the republican vote. The winner was the democrat, and his name was Woodrow Wilson. The
republican that split the vote was Teddy Roosevelt.
Trump and the Republican Party has a major problem, one is image. The Republicans have already sent 10% of the population to vote for the Democrats,
due to their nasty rhetoric and fear passing of laws to prevent same sex marriage. And instead of letting things die down, they keep making waves in
that area all upset and hurt over the court’s decision. So that is further pushing the LGBT community to the other side and those who are their
friends and those family members who would support them. That may not seem a lot, as the evangelicals would more than make up that amount.
Then comes in Trump, and this is where it is has gotten messy and here is what the issue is. While Trump has stated some things that are true and he
has some valid points, ultimately what he did was insult 2 other groups, one being the Hispanic and the immigrant communities and the military vets.
So the Hispanic/Latino community makes up a good 17% of the vote, the military vets make up a good 2%. In short with the bad choices in words, he has
sent a good 29% of the population to the Democrats right away, along with a significant population who support are friends and family along with them.
The numbers are not there.
And if he splits the republican vote, then neither he or any of the republicans will be able to get the number of votes to make the required number of
votes in the Electoral college. The only real way that Trump can win, is that he is going to have to show and convince that he is the only person
that can do the job and win the rest of the population over to him. And so far that is going badly.