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originally posted by: rebellion7
a reply to: ZetaRediculian
Im not trying to debunk ALL abduction stories because i have a friend who claims she was abducted 3 yrs ago but doesn't want to talk or even think about it anymore do to her friends and family accussing her of seeking attention. My only argument is that it is becoming harder to separate true abductees from attention seekers you know
originally posted by: Scdfa
originally posted by: Harte
And obviously, none of those could possibly be hoaxed.
Even when they changed their stories a couple of times or failed four or five lie detector examinations.
Harte
You're moving the goalposts. We were discussing sleep paralysis as an explanation for alien abductions, and I gave examples of abduction cases where SP wouldn't work.
If you want to start a conversation on hoaxes, I'll weigh in, most likely.
But I'm curious, you allege someone failed four or five lie detector examinations, care to elaborate on that allegation?
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
No... just, no.
Sorry:
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
Source
Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
No... just, no.
Sorry:
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
Source
Harte
yeah...I've already shown that bit of BS to be BS...do I really have to do it again?
Marjorie Fish renounces her own ZR theory:
Update: Marjorie Fish Obituary says that she renounced her own theory: After newer data was compiled, she determined that the binary stars within the pattern were too close together to support life; so as a true skeptic, she issued a statement saying that now felt that the correlation was unlikely.
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
No... just, no.
Sorry:
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
Source
Harte
yeah...I've already shown that bit of BS to be BS...do I really have to do it again?
I don't know. Did you also debunk the map's creator?
Marjorie Fish renounces her own ZR theory:
Update: Marjorie Fish Obituary says that she renounced her own theory: After newer data was compiled, she determined that the binary stars within the pattern were too close together to support life; so as a true skeptic, she issued a statement saying that now felt that the correlation was unlikely.
Source
More info
Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
No... just, no.
Sorry:
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
Source
Harte
yeah...I've already shown that bit of BS to be BS...do I really have to do it again?
I don't know. Did you also debunk the map's creator?
Marjorie Fish renounces her own ZR theory:
Update: Marjorie Fish Obituary says that she renounced her own theory: After newer data was compiled, she determined that the binary stars within the pattern were too close together to support life; so as a true skeptic, she issued a statement saying that now felt that the correlation was unlikely.
Source
More info
Harte
How about we narrow our focus to the map, and leave out the stuff that doesn't enter into the mathematics...
I think it's reasonable to say that most abduction cases are sleep paralysis cases, and that's probably why you don't see reliable statistics on the phenomena.
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
No... just, no.
Sorry:
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
Source
Harte
yeah...I've already shown that bit of BS to be BS...do I really have to do it again?
I don't know. Did you also debunk the map's creator?
Marjorie Fish renounces her own ZR theory:
Update: Marjorie Fish Obituary says that she renounced her own theory: After newer data was compiled, she determined that the binary stars within the pattern were too close together to support life; so as a true skeptic, she issued a statement saying that now felt that the correlation was unlikely.
Source
More info
Harte
How about we narrow our focus to the map, and leave out the stuff that doesn't enter into the mathematics...
I take it that's a "no"?
Harte
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: tanka418
originally posted by: Harte
The so-called "star map"? Let's see. A billion little lights spread randomly around the sky, and we're supposed to be astonished that a random pattern of dots on paper can be made to (almost) match a random patch of dots in the sky?
And here I thought you had at least some appreciation for the mathematical probabilities involved in the Hill map.
I saw somewhere where someone claimed that one chance in 45 million was "vanishingly small"...the problem there is that a probability of 2e-8 (0.00000002) is bloody commonplace compared to the the probability of random in the Hill map...which is something on the order of 10e-54 ...I won't translate that to a number you can comprehend...takes up a whole line of text...and most of it zeros (0's).
The reality of the Hill map is that it is a very good match where a match shouldn't be...
Nope, sorry man; it's time to take the Hill map out of your "debunker's" or "skeptic's" toolkit...You wouldn't want anything real contaminating what you so fervently believe is pure bunk.
By the way...this is based purely on the mathematical probabilities involved...
No... just, no.
Sorry:
But today the Fish Map is no longer viable whatsoever. In her research beginning in 1966, Fish made the wise choice to use the Gliese Catalogue of Nearby Stars, which was then the most accurate available. But that was over forty years ago, and science never stands still. Astronomical researcher Brett Holman recently checked out what the Fish Map would look like if it were built using the most accurate astronomical data available today. His answer is in his article in the British publication Fortean Times (#242, November 2008): "Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli" (the supposed home solar system of the UFOnauts). Holman writes, “In the early 1990s the Hipparcos satellite measured the positions of nearly 120,000 stars 10 times more accurately than ever before – including all of those that appear in the Fish interpretation. The results of this work, and much else besides, is available online now, and can be easily queried using websites such as SIMBAD at the Strasbourg Astronomical Observatory.”
Fish excluded all variable stars and close binaries to include only supposedly habitable solar systems – but the new data reveals two of her stars as suspected variables, and two more as close binaries. So there go four of her 15 stars. And two more are much further away than earlier believed, removing them completely from the volume of space in question. Six stars of that supposedly exact-matching pattern, definitely gone, excluded by the very criteria that once included them using the forty-year-old data. Goodbye, Zeta Reticuli.
Source
Harte
yeah...I've already shown that bit of BS to be BS...do I really have to do it again?
I don't know. Did you also debunk the map's creator?
Marjorie Fish renounces her own ZR theory:
Update: Marjorie Fish Obituary says that she renounced her own theory: After newer data was compiled, she determined that the binary stars within the pattern were too close together to support life; so as a true skeptic, she issued a statement saying that now felt that the correlation was unlikely.
Source
More info
Harte
How about we narrow our focus to the map, and leave out the stuff that doesn't enter into the mathematics...
I take it that's a "no"?
Harte
originally posted by: draknoir2
a reply to: tanka418
Did you just resort to calling Hill and Fish liars to defend your belief that they were telling the truth?
You're a piece of work.
originally posted by: Harte
originally posted by: draknoir2
a reply to: tanka418
Did you just resort to calling Hill and Fish liars to defend your belief that they were telling the truth?
You're a piece of work.
That's what it sounded like to me.
Fish let it go. After that, the idea that others won't says far more about them than it does about this star "map."
Harte
Nobody has any more knowledge then anyone else. you are just someone else making claims. get in line
The fact that you cant understand that you are just another poster here that is the same as everyone else is very telling.
In fact, I have never even heard you acknowledge that aliens are abducting people, for that matter, so it's hard to take your claim seriously.
We are not all the same, quite the opposite. None of us are the same. We are all completely different, and each of have very different lives; our parents, our educations, our life experiences, all leave us with vastly different levels of knowledge and understanding of virtually everything.
originally posted by: cuckooold
a reply to: Scdfa
Your pedantry makes you come across as a condescending ass, and your own errors in comprehension (see blinkers/blinders for example), do you no favours either.
Now if I had to judge on forum postings with no prior knowledge of yourself, nor Zeta (FYI, proper nouns should be capitalised), I think Zeta brings a far more open and rounded perspective to this topic than yourself. Your insistence on constantly being correct, calling anything that calls into question your abduction hypothesis 'denialist' (amongst other names), and praising anyone who agrees with you, combined with denigrating anybody who does not, creates the impression of a small minded and intellectually dishonest person, who brings nothing to the table but a series of unprovable tales with no compelling evidence at all.
Yes, Sleep Paralysis is a real thing and there is no doubt that it is linked to the abduction phenomenon.
originally posted by: Scdfa
a reply to: ZetaRediculian
Yes, Sleep Paralysis is a real thing and there is no doubt that it is linked to the abduction phenomenon.
Untrue, there is plenty of doubt to that claim. Outright disbelief, in fact.
There is no evidence linking it to alien abductions. Let's see some evidence linking it to abductions.