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originally posted by: TinySickTears
a reply to: luthier
He is going to lose in the clinch and get dominated on the ground. Every minute that passes conors chances of winning go down. He will become less precise. Less accurate. Less power.
Like I said man, Chad Mendes got him down easily and was pounding on him. Conor won but it was not easy.
Nate worked him on the ground as well.
Can't wait. My khabib shirt is on the way.
originally posted by: luthier
a reply to: TinySickTears
Problem is he can't get good enough for it to matter but you are correct he need to learn that pressure. His hopes would be defensive. Not going down and getting used to stalling and bobbing on the ground if he does go down.
I don't think he can get good enough in the transition game for it to matter. Probably better off with the lyoto approach. Tag and point don't get caught do lot of sumo to get away from the clench.
originally posted by: TinySickTears
originally posted by: luthier
a reply to: TinySickTears
Problem is he can't get good enough for it to matter but you are correct he need to learn that pressure. His hopes would be defensive. Not going down and getting used to stalling and bobbing on the ground if he does go down.
I don't think he can get good enough in the transition game for it to matter. Probably better off with the lyoto approach. Tag and point don't get caught do lot of sumo to get away from the clench.
That's true. He will never catch up. He can try to avoid as much damage as possible. You're right with the lyoto approach. Throw and then move. If khabib clinches try to break contact and scramble out.
When he fought nate he was flustered and he is the one that shot for the takedown. He needs to not do that. The plan should be avoid the clinch and ground at all costs. I'm sure it will be. He is a fairly intelligent fighter. Styles make fights though. Just so happens Khabib has a style of heavy too pressure and getting to a smash position. Not good for mac.
I can't link now but check out bjjscout channel. He has a study on conor and Khabib. He shows a lot of nuances
originally posted by: luthier
a reply to: one4all
That entirely depends in if you "see" the paterns or not.
A lot of people may think they "see" a pattern until they get in the ring and realize it was a Trojan and the map is lost.
The best fighters can take that and still making chicken salad without the recipe.
At this level the patterns you think you see may be traps placed there to see. Everyone knows the tapes are out there to study. Now you start hiding plays.
originally posted by: luthier
a reply to: one4all
Perhaps you haven't dealt with wrestlers and the fear in Conors case that being close enough to strike is close enough to clench, and overcomitting means you are going down.
Like I said Conor having wide front leg is a bad habit when facing wrestlers. Connor has success with people wanting to strike.
Khabib isn't a shoot heavy wrestler. He ducks under with elite timing. He is mostly a body lock chain wrestler. Meaning any clench or planting on Connors end is in the danger zone for grappling.
Where are these heavy shots going to come from if he is worried about planting? They will be from Khabib charging in, but Khabib doesn't need to do this. He can target Connors wide stance with lower leg kicks.
Fighters may have tendencies but coaching and game plan are a factor. Javier just trained Cormier to KO a better striker because of sequence planning.
Wide stances like Conors are great for movement but terrible for things like check kicks. Everyone watched what Till did to wonder boy and what John Jones has done.
originally posted by: one4all
originally posted by: luthier
a reply to: one4all
Perhaps you haven't dealt with wrestlers and the fear in Conors case that being close enough to strike is close enough to clench, and overcomitting means you are going down.
Like I said Conor having wide front leg is a bad habit when facing wrestlers. Connor has success with people wanting to strike.
Khabib isn't a shoot heavy wrestler. He ducks under with elite timing. He is mostly a body lock chain wrestler. Meaning any clench or planting on Connors end is in the danger zone for grappling.
Where are these heavy shots going to come from if he is worried about planting? They will be from Khabib charging in, but Khabib doesn't need to do this. He can target Connors wide stance with lower leg kicks.
Fighters may have tendencies but coaching and game plan are a factor. Javier just trained Cormier to KO a better striker because of sequence planning.
Wide stances like Conors are great for movement but terrible for things like check kicks. Everyone watched what Till did to wonder boy and what John Jones has done.
...to be honest it looks bad for the UFC to put someone who is mediocre at best on his feet in with a striker like Conor who can create historical moments if given the right canvas...Khabib is a 2nd rate canvas which the UFC has forced Conor to paint a masterpiece upon...believe me Conor will paint us all a masterpiece because he is an artist in the octagon.
.
originally posted by: luthier
a reply to: one4all
Well we will see! I disagree but I think I understand wrestling a lot better being a former ncaa wrestler and judoka. I started like gsp with contact karate and I can tell you Conor's stance is a big problem if he hasnt worked muay Thai.
His best chance imo would be to win a point fight like Lyoto with a chance he gets a ko with momentum coming in. If he is over confident he goes down quickly.
Also khabib only appears to folks without Sambo training a bad striker. Those techniques obviously work. He is undefeated. He pieced up some good strikers like Barbosa and took his best shots as well. Barbosa has a ground game. Literally, Conor has zero chance in the clench or on the ground. His only chance is timing a one shot ko or point fighting by not committing to full strikes.
originally posted by: BeefNoMeat
a reply to: one4all
Cool story, bro. That retard strength can really sneak up on you — glad the cops helped keep all your bits and pieces intact.
Conor could sleep Khabib but the smart money is on Khabib. Not to mention, the early money is the smart money and Vegas has Khabib as the early favorite; come fight week Conor will have flipped the line and they’ll crush it like they did with Floyd.
I fully expect this fight to get bumped to some other date. One of the more interesting things to me, is the idea Khabib is effectively asking for a 10-fold increase in his disclosed salary...i’m assuming Conor’s lawyers have effectively said that Conor’s last contract (and the language therein) supersedes Khabib’s and McGregor gets all the juice on the PPV — now way he’s stepping in as the B-side in any form or fashion.
61 days and counting if you believe Uncle Dana...