posted on Mar, 20 2012 @ 02:29 PM
Originally posted by camus154
Originally posted by GLontra
Don't try to change and spin the facts.
The "theory" NEVER said it can predict EVERY major quake in the world, nor said that every major quake is related to the "cycle".
The "theory" said: every 188 days, a large quake (above 7.0) happens somewhere in the world. It may happen 2 or 3 days earlier, or 2 or 3 days after
the target date, but it ALWAYS happen.
Lol, I'm not changing or spinning anything. You're the one who said 7.5 after I posted 7+, and now you want to go back to 7.0 again?
Make up your mind--your'e the one who's changing the goal posts here, not me.
And in any case, the theory is still idiotic. Since it doesn't speak to ALL the earthquakes that happen outside of the cycle, THEN IT'S NOT A CYCLE.
If earthquakes happen on average 3 times a month, and when you have some dumb window that allows for + or - 10 days, then guess what--you can pick
just about any number you want and you'll find you'll be close to the target.
A theory and a number that is so loosely interpretive explains nothing and means nothing.
Do you understand the concept of mathematical probabilities?
Let's say that I pick a random interval of 5 days, with a "target date" in the center of this interval...
Let me choose one random date... Hmmm... what about April 7?
OK, April 7. Let's imagine that I am PREDICTING that an earthquake above 7.0 in the Richter scale will happen on April 7, give or take 2 days.
Do you realize what are the probabilities that I am WRONG????
Do you realize what are the probabilities that NO earthquake above 7.0 happens in the 5 day period between April 5 and April 9?
The probabilities that I will be WRONG are VERY HIGH. It's over 90%.
So, if I'm NOT wrong, this is simply FANTASTIC and INCREDIBLE.