Romney slipping in NH polls - now just 15% ahead of Paul

Latest 2 day Suffolk University Poll shows Romney slipping to 35%, with Paul at 20%.

Romney has dropped 8% points in a few days.

Romney 35%
Paul 20%
Undecided 15%
Huntsman 11%
Gingrich 9%
Santorum 8%
Perry 1%
Roemner 1%

30% of people very or somewhat likely to change their minds.

Momentum is with Ron Paul and Huntsman

Romney and Santorum falling badly.

Full Survey results

Results NH Polling up to the first debate

If you look at the detailed crosstabs (on page 8) you will see that the younger responders have the highest percentage of undecided, which are votes that I believe Paul will pick up more than Romney

Detail

I would think that in a state with the motto ``live free or die``, Paul would be first and by a long shot...

Originally posted by Vitchilo
I would think that in a state with the motto ``live free or die``, Paul would be first and by a long shot...

New Hampshire is Romney country, which is well known, and yet he is falling. If he fails to get 35% his campaign starts to look weak. As the race moves on, if he shows weakness in NH, I can only see him getting weaker and weaker.

reply to post by UKTruth

New Hampshire is Romney country,

Why is that? 0.5% of people in New Hampshire are Mormons... so why all the support?

Originally posted by Vitchilo
reply to post by UKTruth

 

New Hampshire is Romney country,

Why is that? 0.5% of people in New Hampshire are Mormons... so why all the support?

He was governor of nearby Massachusetts. Usually local leaders do well in elections around their home state.

as usual Paul didnt even get 6 min from the more than a houre debate , when Romney and santorum got most of the talk hell even huntsman got more time than Paul, i mean how will the people decide if they can't listen to all of them ?

While it may be a slip and while i like paul
15% is still pretty big lead.......
15% is more then enough to win by thousands
of votes..

what was the poll in NH before this poll?

Here's the trend from September and then the last few days...




This also shows candidates that have dropped out and gives some indication of where their votes went...

reply to post by UKTruth


id say that's a pretty good slope, a great start for NH.

Originally posted by UKTruth

Originally posted by Vitchilo
I would think that in a state with the motto ``live free or die``, Paul would be first and by a long shot...

New Hampshire is Romney country, which is well known, and yet he is falling. If he fails to get 35% his campaign starts to look weak. As the race moves on, if he shows weakness in NH, I can only see him getting weaker and weaker.

UKTruth, I love you, man. You're more educated on our election situation than many Americans I know.

Originally posted by vjr1113
reply to post by UKTruth

 

id say that's a pretty good slope, a great start for NH.

Yes, since Jan 4th (2 day results of the 2nd and 3rd):

Paul +6%
Romney -8%

We'll start getting a read on who really won the debates tomorrow...

Originally posted by NightGypsy

Originally posted by UKTruth

Originally posted by Vitchilo
I would think that in a state with the motto ``live free or die``, Paul would be first and by a long shot...

New Hampshire is Romney country, which is well known, and yet he is falling. If he fails to get 35% his campaign starts to look weak. As the race moves on, if he shows weakness in NH, I can only see him getting weaker and weaker.

UKTruth, I love you, man. You're more educated on our election situation than many Americans I know.

Why thank you.

This election is about very much more than the USA - it affects the whole world and has as big a bearing on the UK than our own elections.

Originally posted by popsmayhem
While it may be a slip and while i like paul
15% is still pretty big lead.......
15% is more then enough to win by thousands
of votes..

Sure, but there has been a 14% swing between Paul and Romney in 4 days in Paul's favour. If that trend continues (not saying it will), Romney many only win NH by a few % points. It could even be as close as 5%, which would have been unthinkable a week ago.

Looks like the gap continues to narrow.

Romney now down to 33%, but unfortunately it seems Huntsman is winning the votes off him, not Paul.

Huntsman up to 13% - Paul stayed at 20%