Here is an interpretation of events from someone who has been following this conflict for quite some time. I will make it very brief.
There is basically an area between Russia and Georgia that these 2 countries have agreed to disagree on. This region is called Ossetia. I don't
know how to really describe it but it's kind of like a separatist movement towards Russia from Georgia. Around 90% of the population in this area
has Russian citizenship and most likely pro-Russian.
Conflict has ensued because Georgia in the last couple days has began invading this region to reclaim it as its own. Since Russia has the
predominant support of the region and has interests here they are supporting this breakaway region's pushback of Georgian forces. Here is a video
(
www.liveleak.com...) that was posted in this thread
www.abovetopsecret.com... This is not
showing a fight between Russian and Georgian forces in reality. This is fighting between peacekeeping forces in the region and Georgian forces.
Russia is simply moving to support the peacekeeping forces already in place.
Lots of propaganda is being thrown around on both sides:
-Genocide by Georgian forces (of course a possibility as they are being forced out of the region)
-Russia attacking Georgia territory with aircraft (also possible as a way to hinder reinforcements)
-Russian planes being shot down (another possibility)
PLEASE don't pay attention to the propaganda.
What do I think is happening? At most I think Russia may be hitting Georgian reinforcements to the main areas of conflict and sending support troops
to aid the breakaway region.
Who is at fault? In all reality it kind of points to Georgia for stirring the pot. This region has seen some conflict as of late but this major push
by Georgian forces into a predominately pro-Russian area is a bold move.
What do I think will come of this? Nothing long lasting. I think both sides will agree to a ceasefire and things will continue as they have been in
the last couple of years.