posted on Jun, 23 2019 @ 01:15 PM
a reply to: jacobe001
I have a pet theory is the none of the Middle Eastern conflicts were never meant to end at all. Like General Clark stated, there is a plan for the
region that has been in motion for a good while. It's not about oil, lithium, opium, or anything else. It's about the eventual war between Russia or
China. The Middle East is a staging ground for World War 3.
Let's say we conquered and now occupy Iran. The only real players left in the region are US allies. Afghanistan (mostly), Iraq, and Iran would be
under US control. Syria might join the list soon, but the ongoing Syrian civil war would more than likely prevent them from fending off American
forces in any meaningful manner. Pakistan can be handled by the Indians. The Israelis would serve as buffer should threats move to the west towards
Libya and Egypt would be the only potential threats in the region. I would doubt the Egyptians would want to get in between a pissing match between
superpowers, and since Quaddafi was the only force holding Libya together, doubt they would serve to be much of a threat. Russia would now need to
worry about potentially three fronts instead of just Eastern Europe. Turkmenistan/Uzbekistan, Georgia, and Eastern Europe all become potential points
for a military push into Russian territory. Naval assets would be available to provide support to a ground invasion from the Black Sea. It also
limits the ability of the Chinese to maneuver their forces to counter an American assault. They would either have to go through India (bad idea), or
around the northern side of the Himalayan mountains and through Uzbekistan. The terrain is not conducive in the area to a coordinated land assault of
the area. Moving through Western China would not prove much easier. The Chinese would also have to potentially contend with American naval and air
support along the Eastern Coast. American air assaults could be coordinated from assets on the Arabian peninsula and from Incirlik AFB in Turkey, not
to mention the potential support from other NATO forces along the Eastern European border.
American foreign policy, brought to you by Tom Clancy.
On another note, why the sudden escalation by Iran? They have to know that this won't end well for them. Even if they do have workable nuclear
weapons, do they have a reliable, long range delivery system? Let's say they have both nukes and a means to deliver them to a target. They can't
have many of them, and definitely not any with the level of sophistication (no thermonuclear warheads). Who would they even nuke? Maybe Israel, but
the Israelis most assuredly possess a significant amount of thermonuclear warheads and overwhelming retaliation would almost guaranteed. A
conventional war with America doesn't seem like a good idea. Best case scenario is that American forces decimate most Iranian military assets and
Iran resorts to asymetric means to force the now occupying American force into attrition. Maybe there will be a "criticality accident" at a few
Iranian nuclear facilities ala' North Korea on a foggy desert night sooner than later. The Revolutionary Guard should consider issuing SPF 5000 as
standard equipment to enlisted men...they might need it.