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...Your running on presumptions, based on 10year old predictions which were written about on a website? Im not even sure what your trying to say really.
The effective reproduction number, Rt, of Ebola virus disease was estimated using country-specific data reported from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone to the World Health Organization from March to August, 2014.
.....In the hypothetical worst-case scenario that the current situation with an estimated reproduction number R ranging from 1.4 to 1.7 continues for the remainder of the year, we would expect to observe a total of 77,181 to 277,124 additional cases within 2014.
originally posted by: FlyersFan
originally posted by: Staroth
Seems he is sending 3,000 troops to their death.
originally posted by: soficrow
a reply to: galadofwarthethird
The Ebola epidemic is raging in Africa - apparent even with incomplete under-reporting. The 277,000 figure came from a study commissioned by the US government, published in Eurosurveillance. ...Ten years ago, I started flagging cutting-edge paradigm-shifting scientific research on ATS - and I have not been wrong. Most everything I posted has been verified and validated up the wazoo since, and is making its way into the mainstream. ...As far as this Ebola epidemic goes, if the WHO and the world had jumped in back in March (when I first posted MSF's 'epidemic' call and plea for help), the epidemic would not be out of control now - and you would be saying I was wrong. lol
EARLY TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS OF EBOLA VIRUS DISEASE (EVD), WEST AFRICA, MARCH TO AUGUST 2014
In the hypothetical worst-case scenario that the current situation with an estimated reproduction number R ranging from 1.4 to 1.7 continues for the remainder of the year, we would expect to observe a total of 77,181 to 277,124 additional cases within 2014.
Why is the Ebola epidemic out of control?
Why is the US taking the lead?
Ebola outbreak: Why the U.S. is taking the lead
….[The WHO's] two-year budget had been cut by almost $1 billion and key staff with expertise on emergency response had left as priorities shifted away from potential threats like Ebola.
WHO's epidemic and pandemic response department was dissolved and the outbreak and emergency response section at WHO's Geneva headquarters looked like a ghost town, a WHO consultant told the New York Times.
WHO cut almost all its emergency outbreak experts in Africa to just three before the current Ebola outbreak.
….In the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a budget three times the size of the WHO budget.
….While the U.S. government will now take the lead in the Ebola battle, Obama asked the military to coordinate that effort.
"The U.S. military is really the only organization, perhaps in the entire world, that could provide the support and the resources at the pace necessary to fully respond to the growing outbreak of Ebola," Michaud says.
ETA: Here is an excellent projection chart from ikonoklast, posted here.
originally posted by: soficrow
a reply to: OneManArmy
And what? The same people who don't understand climate change projections also don't don't know how to read exponential growth charts?
The vast majority of troops deploying to Liberia will be soldiers from Fort Campbell, Kentucky, and Fort Hood, Texas. In addition, at least 700 combat engineers from across the Army will be tapped for the mission. A small number of troops have deployed to an airfield in nearby Senegal and are standing by to assist if a large-scale evacuation is required.
About 350 U.S. troops are now in West Africa and total deployments may reach 4,000 during the next several weeks. The size and scope of the mission has expanded from initial estimates in September, when officials said it would last about six months and require about 3,000 troops.
originally posted by: Daughter2
Do you think the troops might be there to assist with a possible border closing?