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(CNN) - President Barack Obama has a majority of voters backing him in three critical battleground states, according to a survey released Wednesday.
The Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll showed Obama leading his Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Florida 51%-45%, in Ohio 50%-44%, and in Pennsylvania 53%-42%. Florida and Ohio are considered toss-ups in November's general election, while Pennsylvania is rated "lean Obama" on CNN's Electoral Map.
link
It seems unlikely that Obama would be doing better in these states than he did 4 years ago. If you look at page 9 of the detailed results provided by the pollster (now linked to the New York Times and CBS for these state polls), you get the answer for the odd results:
Those surveyed revealed who they voted for in 2008. Here are the results by state (Page 9):
Florida: Obama 53%, McCain 40%
Ohio: Obama 53%, McCain 38%
Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, McCain 40%.
In other words, the bias towards Obama voters is 10% in Florida and Ohio, and 4% in Pennsylvania, compared to how people actually voted in these states in 2008.
These results are as valuable as the media that sponsored them. It is a shame that Quinnipiac, which was once respected, has thrown in with the propagandists.
Originally posted by LDragonFire
(CNN) - President Barack Obama has a majority of voters backing him in three critical battleground states, according to a survey released Wednesday.
The Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll showed Obama leading his Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Florida 51%-45%, in Ohio 50%-44%, and in Pennsylvania 53%-42%. Florida and Ohio are considered toss-ups in November's general election, while Pennsylvania is rated "lean Obama" on CNN's Electoral Map.
CNN
Obama's polling numbers continue to rise in poll after poll. There are many ways Obama can be re elected and very few ways Romney can win. With only a few months remaining till the election What do you expect to happen? Will it be 4 more years? At this point it seems so.
who must focus more on implementing his policies as soon as possible
Jim Geraghty at National Review succinctly sums up the poll's sampling problems: "When Quinnipiac asked its swing state samples, “Did you vote for Barack Obama or John McCain in 2008? Obama enjoys a 13 percentage point margin in Florida and a 15 percentage point margin in Ohio. Of course, in 2008, Obama won Florida by three percentage points and Ohio by 4.6 percentage points. So these are some really heavily Democrat samples."
The bottom line for critics is that the Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS polls assume that Democrats will turn out in larger proportions for Obama than they did in 2008. This, they argue, is hard to imagine given the historic enthusiasm for Obama and the Bush fatigue that suppressed GOP turnout. With the economy lagging, the president should be facing enthusiasm headwinds, which is what recent Gallup polls have found.
Originally posted by LDragonFire
reply to post by seabag
You use a obvious political shrill website to debunk the poll? Thats pretty funny.
Here is the link to there homepage, tell me this isn't a shrill site:
American Thinker
Thats what I am worried about, with a 2nd term he will be fearless to do as he pleases, no need to worry about re-election...
He's back peddled on so many issues that he promised in his first term that I have no idea what a 2nd term would look like...
Neither Mittens or Obama will be getting my vote.
Originally posted by ModernAcademia
Liberals will vote for him despite being more pro-war than anyone before him because it doesn't matter if he's a war mongerer as long as he's a Dem
Originally posted by benrl
reply to post by Truthfinder666
who must focus more on implementing his policies as soon as possible
Thats what I am worried about, with a 2nd term he will be fearless to do as he pleases, no need to worry about re-election...
He's back peddled on so many issues that he promised in his first term that I have no idea what a 2nd term would look like...
Neither Mittens or Obama will be getting my vote.
Originally posted by ModernAcademia
Liberals will vote for him despite being more pro-war than anyone before him because it doesn't matter if he's a war mongerer as long as he's a Dem
Originally posted by jibeho
How about Obama's Drone Wars?