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Poll: Obama over 50% in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania

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posted on Aug, 1 2012 @ 03:35 PM
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Originally posted by eazyriderl_l
Well I just took a poll at my local mall and Beezer's avatar is very favored to win this presidential election.
Not by more than 20% because some dont like crying bunnies.
Polls mean absolutely nothing without knowing what the questions are and who you asked them to. Even knowing those two things don't make a poll mean anything.


You can get a 20% swing on a political poll just by the time of the day that you take the poll. If you take a poll between 10 AM and 2 PM it will have a Liberal bias. If you take the same poll from 4 PM and 8 PM it will have a Conservative bias. The reasoning behind this statement is simple. Conservatives tend to work jobs, who's hours are the traditional 9-5, Liberals tend towards having jobs that work non-traditional hours. Take into consideration a few other items like this and you can make a poll say pretty much what you want it to.

By the way, if you take your poll in Pennsylvania, all you have to do is to ask the questions in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and Obama will win every time. It tends to be a bit different on election day.
edit on 1-8-2012 by JIMC5499 because: typo




posted on Aug, 1 2012 @ 03:37 PM
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reply to post by Benevolent Heretic
 


So, you support Obama's proxy wars and the build up in Africa especially Somalia?? Read the thread. When there is a specific target behind the mission it's a "war". This war has been fought for decades BH. Obama is just following through like a good little soldier.



posted on Aug, 1 2012 @ 03:42 PM
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reply to post by jibeho
 


Originally posted by jibeho
So, you support Obama's proxy wars and the build up in Africa especially Somalia??


Oh, for God's sake, can't you discuss something without hyperbole? I said nothing like that! Leave me alone with that crap.



posted on Aug, 1 2012 @ 03:47 PM
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reply to post by Benevolent Heretic
 


You're playing with a double edged sword.

Beyond the Kill List
On the dark side of the drone war, Obama’s rules don’t apply.
www.slate.com...

www.guardian.co.uk...

What would you call it?

Denial is pure bliss!!! No comments on Somalia either? Better cast your vote now before something bad happens over there.



posted on Aug, 2 2012 @ 07:59 AM
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Nate Silver agrees - and Nate Siver is hardly ever wrong

FiveThirtyeight.com -- best statistical analysis of American politics on the planet.



posted on Aug, 2 2012 @ 08:10 AM
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Originally posted by Truthfinder666
Obama is a level headed guy ....


Obama bombed more countries than Bush43 did.
Obama lied about 'no lobbiests will find a job in my administration'.
Obama sucks up to the Muslim Brotherhood.
Obama dragged his feet in going after UBL .. then tried to play up being 'in charge'.
Obama is inept and unqualified.
Obama and WAIVERGATE ..
Obama and that beer summit (and Obama condemning the police etc etc)
Obama pushing through Obamacare even though it's unsustainable.
Obama and his Fast and Furious lies.
Obama and his round the world apology tour ...
Obama and unemployment rate at 8.2%. Real unemployment rate at 18% (Bush43 average 5.2%)
Obama and his 20 year membership in the Black Liberation Theology (blame the white man for everything) cult.
Obama and his TRICKLE UP POVERTY economic policy ... 'spread the wealth' ... steal from those who have earned more simply because they have more.

Yep .. really great for the country. NOT!



posted on Aug, 2 2012 @ 08:13 AM
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Originally posted by benrl
Neither Mittens or Obama will be getting my vote.

DITTO. Same here.

As for polls .. Obama is clearly ahead. Real Clear Politics has the best polling ...
purl=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html] Real Clear Politics Electoral Map 2012 [/url]



posted on Aug, 2 2012 @ 08:58 AM
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Originally posted by jibeho
polls polls polls only as good as the sampling


Jim Geraghty at National Review succinctly sums up the poll's sampling problems: "When Quinnipiac asked its swing state samples, “Did you vote for Barack Obama or John McCain in 2008? Obama enjoys a 13 percentage point margin in Florida and a 15 percentage point margin in Ohio. Of course, in 2008, Obama won Florida by three percentage points and Ohio by 4.6 percentage points. So these are some really heavily Democrat samples."



The bottom line for critics is that the Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS polls assume that Democrats will turn out in larger proportions for Obama than they did in 2008. This, they argue, is hard to imagine given the historic enthusiasm for Obama and the Bush fatigue that suppressed GOP turnout. With the economy lagging, the president should be facing enthusiasm headwinds, which is what recent Gallup polls have found.


www.deseretnews.com...

ON to the next poll....and the next and the next


Stacked Poll = Fiction

Rasmussen is always the closest.

All we have to do is seek the truth and look at elections in the past.

Rasmussen has the best track record. - They don't stack their polls.-



posted on Aug, 4 2012 @ 05:01 AM
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Looks like Obama's popularity is growing due to the good economy and jobs being created.

I dont think the Republicans could have picked a worse candidate.



posted on Aug, 4 2012 @ 05:29 AM
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As a Canadian, I hope Obama doesn't win this election because it will send another shockwave through the global economy.
And even worse is the thought of how these morons plan on getting out of the hole they dug.



posted on Aug, 4 2012 @ 10:15 AM
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Originally posted by HamrHeed
As a Canadian, I hope Obama doesn't win this election because it will send another shockwave through the global economy.
And even worse is the thought of how these morons plan on getting out of the hole they dug.


Obama has already lost.

The economy is dragging him down. It's like an anchor wrapped around his ankles.

The unemployment rate went up yesterday.

Plus 150,000 people jumped out of the workforce.


Also, the fiscal cliff is in sight. We can all see it.

Lockheed Martin is required by law to hand out over 100,000 pink slip notifications

just 3 days - before - the election on November 6, 2012.

The Obama gaffe - If you've got a business, you didn't build that ! - is in the back of

everyones mind.

The socialist attacks on Chick-fil-A by the mayors of Boston, Chicago and San Francisco

have backfired! They have awakened a sleeping giant.

A Pro 1st Amendment - Free Speech - sleeping giant.

People were wrapped around the block in support of Chick-fil-A on

Chick-fil-A Appreciation Day.


Also, the DNC have a new poster boy. Here he is. He has 1 message - Intolerance-.

If you donate money to an organization i do not approve of then i will attack your

company and harass your employees.

edit on 4-8-2012 by Eurisko2012 because: (no reason given)



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