posted on Jan, 17 2012 @ 08:36 AM
I know about Mark Lane and Jim Douglass and Jim Marrs etc who have written conspiracy books, but they are not mainstream fiction writers like Stephen
King. Can't you see the difference?
And I responded to that guy you mentioned, and I will keep responding.
Look, the likenesses to Oswald's clothes were too great to happen by chance. Lovelady didn't get up that morning and just happen to dress and
comport himself in the exact same manner as Oswald, wearing a loose-fitting, unbuttoned outer shirt over a v-neck t-shirt. The odds of that alone were
less than 1 in a 100 as I explain in the introduction to my video. And then when you consider the specific likenesses of the collars, it puts it over
the top. That would have made the whole thing not only the crime of the century but the coincidence of the century. Please read my introduction to the
In poker, you have to calculate the odds of a guy drawing a certain card. For instance, the odds of drawing an inside straight are 1 in 13. So, let's
size up the odds in this case.
The fact that both Oswald and Doorman look generally alike and are both wearing a loose-fitting outer shirt, that is unbuttoned, over a white t-shirt
with a v-neck, creates, in itself, a strong likelihood that they are the same person.
Take the one issue of both shirts being unbuttoned. What percentage of men at work in the city go around with their shirt largely unbuttoned?
Percentage-wise, it has got to be small. I don't know what it is exactly, but you'd have to agree that it could be no greater than 1 in 10. Right?
If you don't agree, then walk down the street in downtown Dallas, Texas or any other big city and start observing men, and keep track of how many are
buttoned vs unbuttoned, and come up with your own number. Take a representative sample. I think 1 in 10 is actually too big, but we'll go with it.
The simple fact is that: MOST MEN BUTTON UP.
Now, there's no doubt that Oswald was unbuttoned- he was unbuttoned when he was arrested. Plus, we know that his buttons were missing, so he had to
be unbuttoned. But nobody reported Lovelady being unbuttoned, and in the one picture we have of him from that day, he was NOT unbuttoned.
Mathematically speaking, that one variable, by itself, creates strong odds that Doorman was Oswald and not Lovelady.
But then, you keep going. Both Oswald's and Doorman's shirts were loose-fitting, somewhat over-sized, and I put the odds of that at around 1 in 3.
But now we are talking about two variables which have to be multiplied together, so we are talking about a 1 in 30 chance that Doorman and Oswald
would both be wearing shirts that were both unbuttoned and loose-fitting. (10 x 3 = 30)
Then there is the v-neck t-shirt. Round-neck t-shirts, also called crew-neck, have always been more popular and still are, but v-neck users are
gaining. Recent industry reports show that 67% of t-shirt sales have been crew-neck. Then came sleeveless tanks at 17%, and then v-necks at 16%. That
last figure was probably much lower in 1963, but let's go with it. So, we'll say 1 in 6 odds of both wearing v-neck t-shirts. Multiplying that out,
we are now at 1 in 180 (30 x 6).
In other words, the odds that both Oswald and another man who was the Doorway Man both would have worn unbuttoned, loose-fitting outer shirts over
v-neck t-shirts were no greater than 1 in 180. Note also that in every picture we have of Lovelady, he is wearing a crew-neck t-shirt.
So, at first glance we are looking at odds of 180 to 1 against the apparent likenesses in dress between Oswald and Doorway Man happening by chance.
But then, when we factor in the matching collars and lapels, it takes it off the chart. The odds of that are too small to calculate. They are
infinitesmal. The right collars of Oswald and Doorman match PERFECTLY, as I demonstrate in my videos. And although we cannot see the left collar of
Doorman, (because they covered it up with that phony, ridiculous Black Tie Man) we can see the long left lapel on Doorman, which matches the one on
Oswald. Again, that puts it off the chart. How many shirts even have lapels?
Note that all this would be true even if Doorman could be ANYBODY. It would be true even Doorman could be a random guy who just happened to be walking
by and stopped. But, in this case, it's not that Doorman could be just anybody. If he's not Oswald, then he can only be one other person on the face
of the Earth: Billy Lovelady. We would have to assume that one particular individual just happened to dress himself and arrange himself that day in
the exact same manner as Lee Harvey Oswald.
Mathematically speaking, the odds that Oswald and Doorman are the same person are extremely great. And if you don't think so, I sure wish you would
sit down and play some poker with me. And let's make it high stakes.
The Doorman was Oswald, and the likenesses to Lovelady were faked. I'd go all-in on that bet.
A 48 year old state lie is dying. Let's put it out of its misery.