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Originally posted by Rockpuck
reply to post by mnemeth1
My own studies of the Hindenburg Omen offer something maybe even scarier...
It is not uncommon, because of the way the "Omen" is calculated, to have multiple "Omens" in a row over an extending period of time during major UPSWINGS in the market .. if you look historically, during all long periods of market GROWTH, there are numerous Omens on the way up.
There are very FEW Omens on "downward trends" and seeing as we are currently in a rut on the markets, seeing TWO omens at the onset and at this later stage signifies, historically, a much larger percentage chance for a major market incident. Not crash, hopefully not anyways, but a major downward movement.
Just my own observations.
Originally posted by mnemeth1
To be honest, I’m kind of eager to see Wall Street totally implode its face in. The total destruction of the criminal financial sector may finally bring about calls for a return to sound money and an end to the criminal private banking cartel you call the federal reserve banking system.
Originally posted by topdog30
Why anyone would put their money in the market is beyond me. I don't call speculating "investing"
You might as well go to Vegas with your money and see how much you come back with.
I can buy a property worth $100k for $50-60k making $40-60k day one. Can you do that with stocks?
I average over 20% yearly return on my money with real estate.
Stock market.....NO THANKS! How much you pay your broker, and then in taxes. With real estate I can roll over my profits through a 1031 exchange and not pay taxes on my gains. If you have money in the market, pull it out and learn how to invest in real estate. You could also learn how to lend you funds you have tied up in stocks to investors. My private lenders earn 15-20% yearly returns secured by real estate.
Originally posted by topdog30
The people that lost money in the real estate market are people who paid full price for the properties, they over leveraged their properties. Manly the retail home buyer. Not investors that have a clue on how to buy right.
I don't buy a property for more than 65% of value, so in your scenario, I still have money. The people who buy stocks, start off already leverage 100%....that's not good!
What your stock price does is not a concern to me because nine times out of ten I have my property sold the same day I bought it.
Can you buy a stock at 40-65% of value?
Can you buy a stock and make 60-40k when you buy it?
Does you stocks pay you 10k or more a month and give you equity NO, I don't think so. Get out of stocks....learn how to buy right...and make some money.
What does this mean? Pretty much the same thing as the confirmed and official Hindenburg Omen observation means, that the market lacks uniformity, that the market is in an unstable condition, and it is at these times that markets are especially vulnerable to a stock market crash. Again, this does not guarantee a crash, as the odds are only about 30 percent, but compared to the normal less than one-tenth of one percent probability for a crash on any given day, that is an astronomical increase in the odds for a crash.