Originally posted by zachi
Lunar perigee is on Jan 29th. I think that would be a more likely candidate for a quake. However, the most likely time for a 7.0+ is during July 9 -
13. There is not only a perigee, but a solar eclipse. The last seven 7.0+ quakes all occured during eclipse + perigee.
Incorrect. On two counts.
The last perigee was on January 30.
The seven most recent 7.0+ earthquakes occurred neither at perigee nor near a solar eclipse.
1) January 12, 2010 Magnitude 7: No eclipse. 11 days after perigee.
2) January 3, 2010 Magnitude 7.1: No eclipse. 2 days after perigee.
3) November 9, 2009 Magnitude 7.3: No eclipse. 2 days after perigee.
4) October 7, 2009 Magnitude 7.7: No eclipse. 6 days before perigee.
5) October 7, 2009 Magnitude 7.8: No eclipse. 6 days before perigee.
6) October 7, 2009 Magnitude 7.4: No eclipse. 6 days before perigee.
7) September 30, 2009 Magnitude 7.5: No eclipse. 14 days before perigee.
Keeping in mind that it's 28 days between perigees there is a pretty good chance that an earthquake (or any other random event) will occur within a
week or so of perigee.
The eclipse of July 22, 2009 occurred during perigee. There were no major earthquakes.
The next solar eclipse occurs on July 11, 2010. 2 days before perigee.
[edit on 2/16/2010 by Phage]