Originally posted by sligtlyskeptical
We will always have inflation. People will not lend money to get the same amount back sometime in the future. This is called opportunity cost. Why
would you lend your money at zero percent when you can earn something on it otherwise? You won't.
slightlyskeptical,
You have made a very good point that I have overlooked and I minored in econ in my university days.
Ok, opportunity costs, do, indeed factor in; however, if the opportunity costs are properly accounted for and mitigated, there would be no inflation
from those costs -- and why?
It's this:
productivity increases.
If opportunity costs are smartly handled, the productivity increases would more than offset the opportunity costs, hence there would be no
inflation.
There is a long historical record to prove that. In the time period between 1787, which dates from the formal establishment of this country under the
Organic Constitution, to 1913, which dates the establishment of the Federal Reserve, the prices -- based on a constant basket of goods like sugar,
wheat, tobacco, lumber and other goods that were constantly-available and consistent throughout that time period --
remained constant during that
time and did NOT increase, i.e. inflate.
And during that time, there was a lot of lending going on -- with interest rates charged on the loans -- but the costs of those loans were more than
covered by the productivity gains that were to be had when the people were industrious and productive with the money that they borrowed, so they were
able to repay those loans in timely manners and were able to keep the difference afterwards.
The rate of increase in that 1787 to 1913 time period stands alone as the
greatest increases in widely-distributed wealth in world history.
Think about that. The aggregate wealth of America alone increased many-fold and the Illoonynaughties clearly saw that and wanted very, very badly to
capture that wealth and siphon it off for themselves, so they schemed for a 100 years trying to get the central-banking model established and they
finally succeeded with the fateful establishment of the Federal Reserve.
So, if the opportunity costs are properly handled, they would NOT contribute do inflation at all.