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MOUSAVI ASK THE WORLD TO PARTICIPATE IN SEA OF GREEN IN IN ALL CAPITAL CITIES THIS SUNDAY - #Iranelection - confirmed RT43 minutes ago from web
Iran's supreme leader on Friday rejected opposition claims that last week's presidential elections were rigged, describing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's win as "definitive" and calling for an end to days of protest.
Originally posted by pavil
The Army and more importantly the Revolutionary Guards are the tipping points of the whole thing. Without their support, nothing changes.
There is undoubtedly fractures in the Mullah camp, with some expressing doubt of the Supreme Leader and he choice for President. It will be hard, if not impossible for them to change without looking weak and ineffective and falling from power. They are caught between a rock and a hard spot.
Also, the people in the streets are not organized enough to make the impact they could be making. They have the "people power" to do far more than what they have done so far. All they are doing so far is irritating the Mullahs, where they have the capability to make the Mullahs fear them.
Iran is approaching it's fork in the road and right now no one side is really steering the car.
60% of Iran's population is under 30, they have not know any other form of government. I think this is more of a generational power struggle more than anything.
Originally posted by Manouche
A more important figure than Khatami is Rafsandjani. The big struggle might be between him and Khameini.
I think it's safe now to say there is some kind of external influence too.
Protesters in Iran tell the world about their fight for democracy as restrictions on mobile phones and the internet are defied on Twitter
Originally posted by mmiichael
Very good point. This is a generational shift. Unlike any time in Iranian history, with the Internet becoming widely available in the last decade, there is outside news of Iran filtering into the country that counters the state run press and broadcast versions of events.
Young Iranians have become increasingly aware of their government's policies and activities outside the country and how they have alienated themselves on the world stage. The stories of strife and economic disparity for the Iranian people caused by persecution from the US, Israel, and the West in general, don't wash any more.
Start of demonstrations in late 1977
The first militant anti-Shah demonstrations were in October 1977, after the death of Khomeini's son Mostafa. Khomeini's activists numbered "perhaps a few hundred in total", but over the coming months they grew to a mass of several thousand demonstrators in most cities of Iran.
The first casualties suffered in major demonstrations against the Shah came in January 1978. Hundreds of Islamist students and religious leaders in the city of Qom were furious over a story in the government-controlled press they felt was libelous. The army was sent in, dispersing the demonstrations and killing several students (two to nine according to the government, 70 or more according to the opposition)
Not that long ago only a small percentage of Iranians were aware of other ways of life and how governments operate. Now that knowledge is spreading. Criticism is on the lips of millions who now see their leaders not so much as benign paternal figures, but as corrupt individuals who exploit them and deprive them of natural freedoms and opportunities.
According to the Shi'ite customs, memorial services (called Arba'een) are held forty days after a person's death. In mosques across the nation, calls were made to honour the dead students. Thus on February 18 groups in a number of cities marched to honour the fallen and protest against the rule of the Shah. This time, violence erupted in Tabriz, where five hundred demonstrators were killed according to the opposition, ten according to the government. The cycle repeated itself, and on March 29, a new round of protests began across the nation. Luxury hotels, cinemas, banks, government offices, and other symbols of the Shah regime were destroyed; again security forces intervened, killing many. On May 10 the same occurred.
Originally posted by DangerDeath
The glove has been slapped... urgh... the glove slapped the faces of millions...
Now the Supreme Authority will be beheaded... er... dethroned...
Who the hell they think they are? The little wizards from Oz. Like never in history people killed their masters...
Happens all the time and in a repeating pattern. They never learn. They never try to learn. They are emotion and idea driven, have no mind of their own, no conscience, no ethics, no compassion, no human characteristics at all.