posted on Aug, 19 2008 @ 01:53 AM
My imagination is sometimes mixed up with intuition and vice versa however this cold war is probably going to be a little warmer than the last one.
Just this past week I watched the 1980's classic, "Red Dawn" in which a multilateral force invades us from the south and down through Canada.
The scenario was that Mexico had a revolution and a few central american countries paired up with russia/ussr to take advantage of the revolving door
that is the mexican border. Russian troops made their way via Alaska / Canada.
Another note in the movie is that there was a limited nuclear exchange as mutually assured destruction governed the degree to which all parties
involved their nukes. The USSR nuked some missile silo arrays and then went for the heart of washington while invading from the south. China, too, was
attacked on a limited level.
Some real life notes to consider:
-Instability in Mexico (police / army personnel getting lynched/impaled regularly when not simply shot at).
-The whole story playing out in Georgia. *Trigger Event*
-Venezuela amassing high end military hardware.
-Iran. (ICBM infrastructure pretty much in place now) *Trigger Event*
-Taiwan - China. *Trigger Event*
-Al Qaeda/"The *Data*base".
-Threats on our right to bear arms/gun registry/banning.
-Our military spread out too thin!
-Anti missile batteries across europe. The window of opportunity is closing fast for the russians! *Trigger Event*
-Policital conflict over zoning of the Arctic / Oil. *Trigger Event*
I'm sure we can add lots more. I see 5 potential triggers for heavy fighting by superpowers and yes, Russia is still a super power as well as China.
No matter what you are told, they are very healthy and vibrant on all levels.
If the opportunity for Russia to have any effective offensive is closing, they are about to escalate things to the point of just before giving launch
orders. Time is running out for them. Understandably, they are pissed as we would be.
Mexico's border is just an open door block party. If you can smuggle in human livestock, small WMD cannot be any harder. If we are largely disarmed
then it would be taking candy from a baby for any invaders! They could flood in equipment faster than our troops could be called home leaving our own
military as the invading force when coming home!
I'm taking the high road with the scenario and maximizing all the variables but isn't that what it takes when it comes to planning such a bold move?
Overwhelming force? Goliath is far too busy looking at the ladies while David(our potential adversaries) is aiming his bow.
The only thing I can think of is we need to make sure we have strong allies with a mutual security agreement such as that in NATO. Now I see why the
vigorous pressure to expand and Russia's obvious resistance to it. I'm being as objective as possible, however the Red Dawn scenario seems much less
far fetched now than it did during the cold war!