Geomagnetic Activity Watch: Some Peoples' Lives May Depend On It

originally posted by: ElectricUniverse

The problem is that not everything that occurs in nature, and the universe can be quantified and predicted. The forces that control geomagnetic events, alongside other natural events, can be quite unpredictable.

To a degree yes, though as SusObservers have noted, and NASA finally catches on, there are signatures, sequences and precursory interactions between sun/earth that when looked at from a wider perspective, do make evaluation and anticipation and even forecast of EM and GM quite a simple process. A + B might not always equal C, though they do so often when seen from correct perspective that I don't think it will be long before have a space weather general forecast as reliable as we do say a 7 day local weather one. Reliability is relative but then everything is unreliable until it is understood well enough to stand on its own embracing or taking into account a measure of randomness.

Ro

a reply to: ElectricUniverse
a reply to: Rosha

Even "right now" reports would be helpful - but as I recall, it takes a couple of days for a solar flare to hit the earth's magnetic field and the trajectory is predictable. So there is at least some potential for short term predictions. ...Anything would be helpful.

I find I get what my doc calls 'neuronal twitches' when storms are incoming. Ive not done any personal study on predictability as these relate to GM storms, more their relationship to EQs. Does anyone else get particular headache? Tonal changes? Ears popping? Might be worth a communal blog site or forum somewhere to record them to see if there are any patterns?



A 'right now' via spaceweather.com:

"INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: NOAA forecasters have boosted the odds of an M-class solar flare today to 50% mainly in response to the rapid growth of a new sunspot in the sun's southern hemisphere. The sunspot, designated AR2060, has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong eruptions" Source

For those who might not know, a beta=gamma field, like an increase in solar winds, is a precursory signal to sun flare activity. This is described below as well in this report from SusObs this morning. Part way through this report, their observations confirm SW's view. See their links below their vid for all current info as it is publicly avail.


Generally though, the larger of the GM storms from last weeks big flares have passed by with very little EQ activity over 4mag surprisingly. Uber sensitives should keep watch on NOAA's as its due for an update in a few hours and we are about to face off with a coronal hole. On GOES sat we are 3x3 'none' on Radio GM and Solar storm watch, so no incoming GM or EM activity being recorded on solar dynamics telemetry atm ( at last update) No new flares or Gamma bursts recorded o/night either though a mag filament is emerging that along with coronal hole and increase in winds does deserve a watch.


So a little space for breath it seems..time to sneak out to the garden! >B) The 'song' / hum of the sun is 'excitable' today even though its calm outwardly...so I figure we have at least 24 before any real activity.

enjoy!




Ro

a reply to: Rosha

The big question is IF and WHEN it hits the earth - and when the ultra-low frequency effects (are) occur(ing). imho - the scientific evidence is sufficient to link geomagnetic activity with heart, stroke and chronic disease/mental health flare-ups. Daily reports are warranted.

fyi - I started this thread back in 2011 - might be what you're looking for.

Weird Health Problems Related to Geomagnetic Storms, Earthquakes? Watch Thread.

originally posted by: soficrow
a reply to: Rosha

The big question is IF and WHEN it hits the earth - and when the ultra-low frequency effects (are) occur(ing). imho - the scientific evidence is sufficient to link geomagnetic activity with heart, stroke and chronic disease/mental health flare-ups. Daily reports are warranted.

fyi - I started this thread back in 2011 - might be what you're looking for.

Weird Health Problems Related to Geomagnetic Storms, Earthquakes? Watch Thread.

Gotcha. Will take a look. You can already link up with space weather.com and SOHO for real time tweets on solar flare activity, ditto USGS for quake activity, so there is a start at least?

Ro

Just a heads up, Ive been getting some incoming activity sensors going off, am expecting also moderate -large quake next 24.48hrs. Precursory proton storms already here though I haven't checked boards yet to see if anything flaring. EQ identified tone changes and pings affecting around Chile now, may move north west and pop out elsewhere. Keep watch on China. Lots of constriction on the right side of the globe atm, feeling gravity waves have changed, again for me, often a precursor of a flare and EQ event. Experiencing right lobe migraine and dizziness, tone pings both sides. best. Ro.

File under "Good to Know."

NASA's Magnetospheric Multiscale Mission (MMS) to provide first 3-D view of Earth's magnetic reconnection process

"MMS will help us study the phenomena known as magnetic reconnection and help us understand how energy from the sun – magnetic and otherwise – affects our own life here on Earth. MMS will study what effects that process … and how the magnetosphere protects Earth."

Magnetic reconnection is the process whereby magnetic fields around Earth connect and disconnect while explosively releasing vast amounts of energy.

MMS measurements should lead to significant improvements in models for yielding better predictions of space weather and thereby the resulting impacts on life of Earth as well as satellite explorers in orbit and the heavens beyond.

….The spacecraft will use the Earth itself as a laboratory to unlock the mysteries of magnetic reconnection – the primary process that transfers energy from the solar wind into Earth's magnetosphere and is responsible for geomagnetic storms.

The best place to study magnetic reconnection is in situ in Earth's magnetosphere. This will lead to better predictions of space weather phenomena.

*really* loud tonal ping left ear/right hem very unusual, short and louder than any Ive experienced to date. Have idea what's up or where yet, but its up there in oddest moments. tc of you.

Looks good to me. If the info is publicly accessible.

SWARM is drawing the Earth's magnetic field in 3D

(Nanowerk News) Thanks to a constellation of three satellites, ESA’s SWARM mission will track and measure the planet’s magnetic forces from its core to its upper atmosphere. Five months after the launch, the satellites are beginning to gather data.

……..The SWARM mission is now fully deployed. Five months after they were launched, the three satellites are now positioned onto their respective orbits and have begun sending their first data “with a precision that took earlier missions 10 years to achieve”, European Space Agency (ESA) specialists comment on the mission’s website. For four years, the satellites will track and measure the strength, direction and changes in the Earth's magnetic field. The project will give scientists unprecedented insight into the subtle workings of this force field that act like a shield protecting our biosphere from the Sun’s charged particles, heavy ions and cosmic radiation.

This rich collection of data will be used in many different ways. First of all, the scientists will model the geomagnetic field and its interaction with other physical aspects of the Earth. To be monitored are the magnetic properties of the planet’s core all the way to its upper atmosphere, thus offering a unique view of the composition and processes of the planet interior, as well as the atmospheric and ocean processes that affect climate and weather. Furthermore, the mission will investigate how the Earth’s slight oblateness affects the force and intensity of gravity from one location to another.

“There is one more goal,” says scientist Florian Gallien at the Swiss space Center. “The magnetic field has weakened by 10-15% over the last 200 years, meaning that an inversion of the poles may be possible. The South could become the North and conversely and has already happened in the past. SWARM will watch how it evolves over time.