Will the stock markets crash Monday morning?

Will the stock markets worldwide crash by as much as 50% this week, starting Monday morning? All because of the unstable situation in Ukraine and WW3 knocking at our door. Will there be worldwide panic in the stock markets? I'm no analyst but I'm guessing that stocks worlwide will drop by -20% this Monday and then another -30% during the rest of the week.

-MM

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


No, this won't happen, but I do applaud you for making a specific prediction. I guess we'll see if by Monday closing it's dropped by 20% and by Friday closing an additional 30%.

reply to post by Toromos


I'm not picking the -50% plunge from nowhere; there have been some predictions before the Ukraine/Russia conflict/war that the stock markets will plunge by 50% in 2014:

It is only a matter of time before the stock market plunges by 50% or more, according to several reputable experts.

“We have no right to be surprised by a severe and imminent stock market crash,” explains Mark Spitznagel, a hedge fund manager who is notorious for his hugely profitable billion-dollar bet on the 2008 crisis. “In fact, we must absolutely expect it."

Unfortunately Spitznagel isn’t alone.

“We are in a gigantic financial asset bubble,” warns Swiss adviser and fund manager Marc Faber. “It could burst any day.”

Warning: Stocks Will Collapse by 50% in 2014

, perhaps this Ukraine threat will burst the bubble?

-MM

stock futures are fairly flat, global markets aren't tanking either. I doubt if we'll see a huge drop on Monday unless there's some crazy activity today that results in a far broader situation.

Crakeur
stock futures are fairly flat, global markets aren't tanking either. I doubt if we'll see a huge drop on Monday unless there's some crazy activity today that results in a far broader situation.

I hope you are right, but the problem is that smart analysts sell off their stocks if there is a slightest chance there could be an imminent upcoming stock crash - and there is a good chance for that now. Smart analysts will sell off their stocks Monday before the stupid analysts that will "take their chances" that "everything will work out good in the end".

-MM

stockmarkets may fall 50% couse they are 60% over-rated compare to the real economic situation...
buizzness as usual

You get one influential person going "sell, sell, sell" and that starts to echo across the world.

The market makes it's own crashes, not world events. It's funny to me that if you could get everyone to turn off the news for a week, a crash would be unthinkable.

Most likely go up by 5 to 10 %
They can smell all that new money, war profit coming thier way

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


if so, you won't see a 50% drop tomorrow because there aren't enough smart analysts out there to drive down the market.

plus, analysts aren't supposed to trade in stocks they analyze.

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


Here's a list of the largest daily changes in the S&P 500

Largest Daily Changes in the S&P 500

Only once has it breached over a 20% loss. Throwing that aberration out, most big losses are anywhere between 4 and 8%. I guess I shrug my shoulders with stock market forecasts. It's a random walk. I wouldn't be surprised if it drops 1 or 2% Monday, but it won't drop 20%.

Toromos
reply to post by MerkabaMeditation

 

Here's a list of the largest daily changes in the S&P 500

Largest Daily Changes in the S&P 500

Only once has it breached over a 20% loss. Throwing that aberration out, most big losses are anywhere between 4 and 8%. I guess I shrug my shoulders with stock market forecasts. It's a random walk. I wouldn't be surprised if it drops 1 or 2% Monday, but it won't drop 20%.

War in Europe with Russia, the greatest global threat since the Cuba crisis, the Budapest Memorandum may force the US and UK into the war, and you don't expect the stockmarkets to plunge more than 2%? I'm obviously much more negative to the whole situation than you are. Thanks for the numbers though, interesting.

-MM

The real question is why would you put any faith into the NYSE? Or any stock market. Can you give me your hard earned compensation that way I can loan it out at a 100% interest rate?

reply to post by Toromos


the markets have crash protection limits in place. Trading curbs will keep us from ever seeing 50% in one day.

reply to post by Crakeur


^^This stranger is right. The government/banks will close it at a lower rate to pretend it won't go that low to siphon the currency off the serfs/peons/chattel.

Crakeur
reply to post by Toromos

 

the markets have crash protection limits in place. Trading curbs will keep us from ever seeing 50% in one day.

I'm was guessing a 20% plunge on Monday - the 50% is over the entire first week. They may halt it on Tuesday though, but it will still continue to plunge on Wednesday a.s.f. On Black Monday in 1987 it did plunge 20% in a single day.

No, the maket's not predicted to crash until the next day.

"MEANS: U.S. economy on schedule to crash March 4, 2014
America’s fall will take global economies with it"


www.washingtontimes.com...

If the market goes down the smart money will buy. There will be no war, the deal has been made (at least as far as I "know") and the Russians get the Crimea in the March voting if not before (or any minute), alls well that ends swell, so if people are stirred by rumors of rumors of war, moneyed folks will gobble up the low hanging fruit (ummmmm, low hanging fruit - mangoes in particular).

You should invest in the stock of companies that make the balaclava....

Balaclava

Go to the strip club.
See if you can buy her outright.

^^ That is the same logic as the market.

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


I to have been keeping an eye on the markets since the release of the chart of 1929 and to up coming decline in the markets . The strangest thing is the markets were following the chart pretty close, until last week. The markets were pretty stable neither gaining or losing ground.
But the one thing that stood out was the volume was way down, not much activity. You consider all the negative news when it comes to the markets they think it's all due to the weather, is this just there way of delaying their future loses the markets will see or are they in place to wait for something else to blame the markets crash while they make millions.

I guess only time will tell