It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by karl 12
Originally posted by The Shrike
snip
I can't wait to read his obituary.
That's a bit much isn't it?
Disagree with him all you want but don't wish death on the man.
media.abovetopsecret.com...
There is not a single verified or checked out report which is at all connectable to Extra terrestrials. That doesnt mean i think ET life is impossible quite the contrary...I think the key to what is behind the real belief in flying saucers can be found in the contact myths. people who claim to have encountered ETs. It used to be possible to believe in a personal all knowing God.. science for good or bad has destroyed alot of the traditional theologies. The flying saucer myths are a really clever compromise its a way of having beings who come from the sky who are worried about us and powerfull, who are going to step in and stop us destroying ourselves and yet have it in the cloak of science, i think whats involved is psychology & theology rather than anything physical."
Prof Says Beings From Outer Space Have Visited Earth
Associated Press, November 26, 1962
LOS ANGELES. (AP) - Some of the best scientific minds in the country were stumped when a slender, dark-haired young man chalked on the blackboard this equation:
N equals R FP NE FL FI FC L.
The speaker was Dr. Carl Sagan, a 28 year-old assistant professor of astronomy at Harvard University.
His audience consisted of several hundred members of the American Rocket Society, gathered for his luncheon address.
The equation was his way of expressing the mathematical probability that intelligent beings from outer space have visited earth.
Sagan soberly explained that in his equation N Stands for the number of advanced technical civilizations in the universe possessing the capability of interstellar communication.
R is the mean rate of star formation averaged over the lifetime of the galaxy.
FP is the fraction of stars with planetary systems.
NE is the mean number of planets in each system with environments favorable for the origin of life.
FL is the fraction of such planets on which life does develop.
FI is the fraction of such inhabited planets on which intelligent life with manipulative abilities rises during the lifetime of the local sun.
FC is the fraction of planets populated by intelligent beings on which advanced technical civilizations rises.
And L is the lifetime of this technical civilization.
Sagan said information in his formula is based on current estimates by astronomers. In making calculations, he assigned each symbol an arbitrary numerical value.
As expressed in numbers, Sagan said, the formula means that at least 1 million of the 100 billion stars in our Milky Way galaxy have planets which have developed civilizations capable of travel between the stars.
"Let's say that each of these civilizations sends out one interstellar expedition per year," he said.
"That means that every star, such as our sun, would be visited at least once every million years. In some systems where these beings found life, they would make more frequent visits. There's a strong probability, then, that they have visited earth every few thousand years.
"It is not out of the question that artifacts of these visits still exist or even that some kind of base is maintained, possibly automatically, within the solar system, to provide continuity for successive expeditions.
"Because of weathering and the possibility of detection and interference by the inhabitants of earth it would be preferable not to erect such a base on the earth's surface. The moon seems one reasonable alternative."
"Forthcoming photographic reconnaissance of the moon from space vehicles - particularly of the back - might bear these possibilities in mind."
At a news conference Sagan predicted man himself would be capable of interstellar flight at close to the speed of light "within a century or two."
Asked if he believed in flying saucers, he said: "I do believe there are objects which have hot be identified."
Link
Originally posted by The Shrike
Originally posted by karl 12
Originally posted by The Shrike
snip
I can't wait to read his obituary.
That's a bit much isn't it?
Disagree with him all you want but don't wish death on the man.
He's useless and not doing anything worthwhile that's benefitting even a single human..
"That means that every star, such as our sun, would be visited at least once every million years. In some systems where these beings found life, they would make more frequent visits. There's a strong probability, then, that they have visited earth every few thousand years.
Originally posted by yeti101
also its dishonest for you tgo highlight the results of his speculation but you dont highlight where he clearly states its speculation. Like youir trying to hide the fact its purely theoretical numbers hes giving as an example. You do it again in your post with the video you only quote that one small part as if thats what he thinks is really happening. Its not
[edit on 25-4-2010 by yeti101]
I have Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis. It has crippled my body and speech, but not my mind.
Originally posted by The Shrike
reply to post by yeti101
This guy (Stephen) p....s me off! Just who the hell does he think he is? He is a wheelchair-bound cripple who's given too much air time to spew his b.s. I can't stand him! Who cares what he says about anything? He hasn't experienced the real world, OUT HERE, so how does he think that whatever he spews is worth reading? "...almost certain to exist.." is the same as I don't know! A real scientific comment! This guy a leading scientist? In what? "Hawkin's logic on aliens..." is non-existent! He is just another poor-man's Drake, coming up with meaningless equations.
The only warning he should is to his caretakers when he has diarrhea!
I can't wait to read his obituary.
[edit on 25-4-2010 by The Shrike]
[edit on 25-4-2010 by The Shrike]
Originally posted by yeti101
reply to post by karl 12
i think i did respond to your list of ufo cases in the thread about the sky at night program where they discussed ufos.