Obama led in 19 battleground polls on Saturday, Romney led in 1

Originally posted by TheOneElectric
reply to post by HUMBLEONE

 

Money will be a bygone concept in 50 years.

In 50 Years Most of Us Here Will Be DEAD...............So >? ...........

reply to post by muse7


And we can find polls that point otherwise. Leading to the main point; the polling is skewed horrendously for both sides and I believe that only internal polling is as close as we are going to get. Though RCP does average their polls and it is still anybody's game at this point.

Relying on polls shows no intelligence or foresight in my opinion. Heck, I probably can find polls that favor Ron Paul but that doesn't mean he is going to win the election.

reply to post by Zanti Misfit


Forgive me. I keep forgetting that you all are older. My apologies. That was insensitive of me. I'm just saying, we're about to hit either the next advancement of society OR a major wall. I never bet on the wall.

reply to post by TheOneElectric


LOL , We Are OLDER..Good One ! ..Forgive Me Sir , you Apparently see the Age And Wisdom Gap here..........

All In All , we are Nothing But Bricks in that Woll.........

Who can believe anything coming from the NY Times?

reply to post by CyberTruth


This Is True............Apparently..............

I think it's in the best interests of the pundits to claim that the race is a "toss-up" and that it's "too close to call"

It keeps viewers tuned in, they are entertaining more than they are informing. Their reputations are not on the line.

If the race is a toss up, then why is Obama leading in 19 out of 22 polls released today? and 2 of those polls had Romney tied, and only 1 had him leading.

Nate Silver has Obama with 305 electoral votes and a 83% chance of winning, he's actually one of the most conservative statisticians when it comes to Obama's chances.

Sam Wang from Princeton University gives Obama a 97% chance of winning re-election.

reply to post by Zanti Misfit


Unfortunately there is no true correlation between age and wisdom. The correlation truly lies between experience and wisdom. Even then, it is merely a correlation and not a causation. Age does not cause wisdom to develop. Experience does not cause wisdom to develop.

What age does cause amounts to set channels of the brain being utilized. It allows for set patterns to run their course. If one is willfully ignorant, divisive, and hateful over a longer period of time it becomes an ingrained social pattern carved within within their brains. All that natural aging tells me about a person is that they have a significant amount of experience, and that they are very /something/ (whether that something be happy, sad, argumentative, wise, intelligent, spiteful, open, warm, caring, hopeful, pessimistic, optimistic ad infinitum...depends on how they lived their life and what patterns within their life were the most repeated).

That's all age tells me...experience and set subconscious programming (again, not necessarily a negative thing.)

Originally posted by CyberTruth
Who can believe anything coming from the NY Times?

Again you can go check the polls for yourself, these are not NY Times polls. These are polls from every battleground state.

22 released today

Obama leading in 19

2 have Romney tied

1 has Romney in the lead.

reply to post by muse7


I was afraid i would have to explain this.

By selecting from so many polls(whichever ones they wanted for which ever state) They have selected the polls which supported Obama the most for each state. This is ridiculous. And then they come up with some ridiculously complex system of analyzing the gleaned results that give percentages of Victory that make no sense whatsoever.

reply to post by ownbestenemy

And we can find polls that point otherwise. Leading to the main point;

Go ahead, go find a majority of polls that show Romney winning Ohio or any other battleground besides FL or NC.

reply to post by CyberTruth


That's not accurate. They used every poll released in those states on that day. And Nate Silver (the man who runs that blog) releases his methodology at the start of the election cycle.
It would be easy to call it biased but this isn't Mr. Silvers hobby, this is his job (NYTimes bought the blog but it's Nate Silvers system) and it's how he gets paid so being biased and inaccurate would hurt his business and his reputation.

EDIT: Here is the methodology used on 538

Originally posted by RottenBeauty
reply to post by CyberTruth

 

They used every poll released in those states on that day