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Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by SwissMarked
Yup. He got it right.
With odds of about 10:1. You have a much harder time rolling snakeyes, but it happens.
Now, if he had said it would happen in Vanuatu....
edit on 3/9/2012 by Phage because: (no reason given)
PORT-VILA, Vanuatu (AP) - The South Pacific island nation of Vanuatu continues to be jolted by several moderate to strong earthquakes after a magnitude 7.1 temblor hit last week.
Several earthquakes, including a 6.1 and a 6.0, hit Monday. Since the larger quake struck Friday there have been 20 temblors of magnitude 4.5 or above, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
Most have been centered near the 7.1 quake, which hit about 77 miles (124 kilometers) west of Port-Vila, Vanuatu's capital.
No tsunami warnings have been issued, and there have been no reports of injuries or damage. The region lies on the "Ring of Fire" _ an arc of earthquake and volcanic zones that stretches around the Pacific Rim. About 90 percent of the world's quakes occur in the region.
How exactly would you figure 10:1 that he'd be right and it would be in Vanuatu when most people came in here and mocked him for even making a prediction..
Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by GLPbannedME
Yes this is perfectly normal. They are different feeds and 4 from USGS which happens because as they change the data and often give new numbers the Global Incident software is not intelligent enough to deal with it.
Pacific wide tsunami?. Very unlikely in this area at that magnitude ut there was probably a local one.
Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by SwissMarked
How exactly would you figure 10:1 that he'd be right and it would be in Vanuatu when most people came in here and mocked him for even making a prediction..
He didn't give a location.
It was a from the hip calculation. Let's refine it.
An average of 16 7.0+s annually. There are 219 forty hour periods in a year, so the actual odds would be closer to 1:14 that such a quake will occur in any 40 hour period. Still much easier than rolling snake eyes (1:35).
edit on 3/9/2012 by Phage because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by Screwed
Incorrect actually. Phage was and is still correct that there is no evidence of a connection between geomagnetic storms and major earthquakes otherwise do you really think it would not have been discovered by the scientists and used for earthquake prediction? Just have a think about what you are suggesting.
Originally posted by oldrockinchair
reply to post by oldrockinchair
pray to god if you are smart enough to have one, the big one is coming!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!