posted on Feb, 23 2012 @ 06:24 AM
I am amzed how dumb some people are.
Especialy those who think a big war in ME will not happend.Also, those who think Russia is some kind of super power.
First, lets say that Iran wants only peaceful nuclear energy AND we Israel BELIEVES them.Or whatever scenario with NO ATTACK against Iran.Lets just
asume that, ok ?
So, what will happend next ? EVERY LAST ARAB NATION WILL WANT NUCLEAR ENERGY.So, in time, Egypt, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Jordan will have CIVILIAN
How would this CIVILIAN energy be a game changer for ME ? Simple, a war, ANY war involving Isarel, will have the risk of BLOWING the fuc.k up a
nuclear CIVILIAN reactor, causing manheim.So, only THIS will restrain Israel to go full force against the enemy / enemies.
But the real question is...would Iran, or Syria, or Saudi Arabia or Egypt or all of them stoping short of making NUKES and be happy with civilian
The answer is SIMPLE AND LOGICAL : NO, they will not.
There is ONE thing that stopped arab armies to mop up Israel : Israel's NUCLEAR WEAPONS.
And there is ONE thing that will NOT stop the Arabs reach their dream to kill all Israelis : NUCLEAR WEAPONS.
So, give enoug time, a BIG war against Israel is INEVITABLE, 5, 10 , 20 or 30 years from now.
What will Israel do : WAIT until they are faced with NUCLEAR WAR or strike NOW, when they STILL have the edge?
Would Israel prefer a conventional war that they can won NOW (or at least have bigger chances to win it) or wait until they will 100% LOSE a war?
Would Israel risk to be the PARIA of all nations NOW...or become the FORMER State of Israel in history books?
What is hard for a westerner is to THINK like an Arab or a Jew.Arabs and Jews ARE NOT THINKING like we do.
They BOTH know the SAME THING : the other side is their MORTAL enemy, and they will do EVERYTHING to make the other disapear (as arabs want for
Israel) or keep the others in check at the borders (as israelis want for the arabs).
Now, there is a status-quo : Israel is the regional power and the lone nuclear power.Once this will change, Israel is doomed.Just look at a map : it
is a TINY country, MAD will NOT work for them.Any other nuclear country NOW or future one (Iran, Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia) can SURVIVE a nuclear
first strike, can retaliate and CAN rebuild their nation.
And this is why Isarel will attack Iran.