Been watching Sun's magnetic pole swapping this week after a post in prediction forum; ( When a scientist say,"WTF=Where're the Flares?",do you think
the Big One is coming?..Next Days.) suggesting great danger in low number of flares this week. ( IMF polar angle ) I use a few sites that provide
current information, and this one from Rice university has lots of info, explanations and even book sales to learn more.
www.spacewx.com... FROM:
spaceweather.com... "QUIET SUN: Considering the fact that Solar Maximum is only about one
year away, the sun is experiencing some remarkable spells of quiet. One of them is underway right now. There have been no significant flares for more
than five days, and the sun's X-ray output has flatlined:
What's going on? In fact, solar activity is on the rise. For instance, an X-class solar flare on Jan. 27th triggered the strongest solar radiation
storm since 2005. Also, auroras have been sighted recently as far south as Virginia and Oklahoma. The quiet interregnums are a sign that the current
solar cycle, while active, is not quite as strong as other solar cycles that preceded it--like a mild hurricane season in the Gulf of Mexico.
According to this point of view, temporary spells of low activity are to be expected. On the other hand, some researchers believe the quiet holds
greater significance; it could foreshadow a major drop in solar activity. This is controversial, however, because forecasting the 11-year solar cycle
is still an infant science. Indeed, surprises may be in the offing. Stay tuned for updates." And from Feb17th, "AURORA WHIRLPOOL: On Feb. 14-15,
Arctic skies erupted with an unexpected display of auroras that veteran observers said was among the best in months. At the height of the event, a US
Defense Meteorological Program satellite photographed a whirlpool of Northern Lights over the Bering Sea:
"A number of images from the DMSP F18 satellite captured the dramatic auroral event of the last couple nights," says analyst Paul McCrone, who
processed the data at the US Navy's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center in Monterey, CA.
The reason for the outburst is still not completely clear. It started on Feb. 14th when a magnetic disturbance rippled around the north pole. No CME
was obvious in local solar wind data at the time; the disturbance just happened. Once begun, the display was amplified by the actions of the
interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). The IMF near Earth tipped south, opening a crack in our planet's magnetic defenses. Solar wind poured in and
fueled the auroras. Geomagnetic storm alerts: text, voice."
Opened magnetic force field to get us some great auroras. Maybe more to come but cool for now.
mms.rice.edu...
Great site to monitor space weather and learn, or get explanations
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Maybe I should have hidden my post as a reply to this thread ( When a scientist say,"WTF=Where're the Flares?",do you think the Big One is
coming?..Next Days.) ,and given a better explanation.
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offer more information, hope it helps.
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