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William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no predictive value.
The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities of hurricane seasons in December. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do in the long run.
Originally posted by jdub297
William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no predictive value.
Hurricane experts admit they can't predict hurricanes early
Originally posted by grey580
reply to post by jdub297
Well I'm not an expert and I've been saying this for years.
And then they want us to believe they can predict climate change too.
Originally posted by aaa2500
Originally posted by grey580
reply to post by jdub297
Well I'm not an expert and I've been saying this for years.
And then they want us to believe they can predict climate change too.
Climate change is long term process which can be predictively modelled relatively accurately, even with poor data.edit on 13-12-2011 by aaa2500 because: spelling corrected
CONCLUSIONS As illustrated and discussed in numerous posts at Climate Observations, the climate models used by the IPCC in AR4 show little skill at recreating the variations in global surface temperature over the 20thCentury