posted on Oct, 11 2011 @ 09:30 PM
I tried to watch the debate as impartially as I could, pretending I had no special knowledge, and just seeing who seemed poised and ready.
My first observation is Romney did really well. For every time he was asked something, he had a crisp and coherent answer. Moreover, where the other
Republicans looked like they were trying to win the nomination of their party, his answer on healthcare and what MA did as opposed to TX was designed
to reach to moderates. His answer on China will also play well with the left.
Rick Perry continues to look lost. His answer to every question might as well have been "Drill, Baby, Drill."
Hermain Cain was calm and confident, but he took a big hit tonight. Santorum and Bachmann both took a piece of him. What is going to resonate is not
that he was a Fed member. What will resonate is the lack of confidence Republicans have in the Congress, and their belief (which I think is
justified) that giving Congress a national sales tax would only be opening a future disaster.
Michelle Bachmann had a decent night, neither hitting anything out of the park nor hurting herself.
Huntsman just feels like an also ran. Look for him soon in a Secretary of the Interior office near you.
Rick Santorum. I live in Pennsylvania, and knowing how he is a real moron, I have to say he's pushing his strategy hard. He's playing to be
Huckabee redux, and as much as I hate to see policy based around this, I think he's right that children growing up in two parent homes have an
advantage. If you're going to argue for limited government, you need communities, and other institutions such as families to pick up the slack. But
he's too nasty to win, in the end.
Newt continues to grow on me. He says things that are snappy, seems aware on every issue, and isn't afraid to take a shot. It's just that he never
seems to sell himself. He seems to like playing statesman, but it may work in the end if all Romney's competition implodes.
And Ron Paul. I agree with everything he says about the Fed, but he seriously and desperately needs to expand his message. Until he does that, and
until he makes crystal clear in a debate, in thirty second soundbytes, the tangible benefits of his economics, he's going to have a ceiling.
So, at the end of the day, the race dynamic is fundamentally Romney vs. whomever emerges as the conservative voice. It won't be Bachmann, won't be
Perry, and I don't think it will be Cain in the end. Who that leaves is hard to say. If no one does, however, Mitt wins.
A thought I had all night while watching Romney, and especially after he lobbed a softball to Michelle for her question is he would do himself a lot
of good to invite her to be his VP. Why you ask? Mitt can appeal to independents and fiscal conservatives in a campaign against Obama. He's not
their first choice, but he isn't at risk of losing those votes. However, the evangelicals will be loath to trust him, and she's a great choice to
go pick up those voters. While he runs the campaign he wants, she can go to all the functions and build herself a network that will be able to
mobilize the religious right, forming a strong enough coalition to win. Having a woman would also be an asset to him, obviously.
Just my observations. I'll tell you one thing I don't agree with, however. I hate how they all think deregulation at all costs is the answer. I
used to be with the LP, spent a lot of time studying what industries and especially banking does, and I think if you give them invitation to take free
reign, they do. It's an important enough issue to me that I'd probably vote on it as first priority.