It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by AtlantisX99
In short, to answer your question: no. They have far too much support from the US and the EU, all of whome are looking at Iran and frowning.
I would ask, what evidence do you have that Israel attacking Iran is likely?
Where is your evidence that this event would collapse the worlds economy?
I think this is speculation at best.
I would ask, what evidence do you have that Israel attacking Iran is likely?
Where is your evidence that this event would collapse the worlds economy?
They have far too much support from the US and the EU, all of whome are looking at Iran and frowning.
I think this is speculation at best
Originally posted by EmVeeFF
Originally posted by AtlantisX99
In short, to answer your question: no. They have far too much support from the US and the EU, all of whome are looking at Iran and frowning.
I would ask, what evidence do you have that Israel attacking Iran is likely?
Where is your evidence that this event would collapse the worlds economy?
I think this is speculation at best.
A high ranking government official of Israel urged allied nations to take up arms against Iran. This was months ago.
I'm sure this desire has not wound down.
Found it: news.antiwar.com...
In the interview he calls on the “entire civilized world” to join in the attack because Iran is “a threat to the entire civilized world."
Ya’alon has been calling for attacks on Iran off and on for several years, saying that talks with Iran were doomed to failure and only a military attack was an option.
Originally posted by dontreally
reply to post by AtlantisX99
I would ask, what evidence do you have that Israel attacking Iran is likely?
This is from just 8 hours ago
www.worldtribune.com... 05.asp
3 days ago
IAF Generals 'Loudly' Demanding Strike on Iran
Where is your evidence that this event would collapse the worlds economy?
Read this
The economic ramifcations of Irans closing the strait of Hormuz would be staggering. Hence why they are using this as a threat.
40% of the world's seaborne oil shipments, and 20% of all world oil shipments pass through the strait of Hormuz
They have far too much support from the US and the EU, all of whome are looking at Iran and frowning.
That is the geo-political aspect of the situation. Does that change facts on the ground? If the economy collapses, people WOULD undoubtedly connect their own misfortunes with Israels behavior. It would be because of Israel, and a "zionist conspiracy", that they are now sufferring.
Its not hard to see how this would happen.
I think this is speculation at best
Hence i posted it in the Skunk forum - highly speculative topics.
A former CIA Middle East analyst and a scholar at the Brookings Institution, Kenneth Pollack, said he believed that Iran's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz were "hollow." "In a no-holds-barred fight with the United States Navy and Air Force, Iran might be able to inflict some painful losses, but its doom would be certain." Mr. Pollack added: "In the interim, Iran might be able to frighten commercial traffic away from the straits for a matter of days or even a few weeks. It might also take down an American warship or two. However, neither would be likely to have a lasting impact on global oil supplies or the overall military balance. And in the end, Iran's military capacities would be crippled."
Originally posted by dontreally
reply to post by AtlantisX99
So your basing that idea on a "few years". 3 or 4 years. You dont think Israel will do it, because theyve been waiting patiently in the mean time??? I guess you dont understand psychology very much. Pressure builds, and when critical mass is hit, or if Israel recieves "new information" of an impending attack, dont think they will wait for US approval. It can very well happen without it.
Read the article i linked for you.
It essentially says its a battle between the IAF and Mossad. Mossad wants to do it their way ie; assasinations of key figures. IAF however wants a full-blown attack on their nuclear facilities.
The issue is a little more complex than simply Israel being a proxy for America or Europe (EU in general has a cold relationship with Israel). Israel has its own agenda; and increasingly, America under Obamas leadership has been moving farther and farther away from their historical friendship.
As for "both my questions". I dont think you bothered looking at my answer. How would the economy collapse? Why would Iran block the strait of Hormuz? Read my post and find out.
If youre going to reply to somebody, have the respect to reply to their post, and not someone elses.
Originally posted by StratosFear
reply to post by AtlantisX99
Do some history research about Israel and their airstrike against an Iraqi nuclear facility before they invaded Kuwait and started the Gulf War. Israel is more than capable and more than ready to launch a strike against Iran.
They believe in pre-emptive strikes rather than wait to get attack. If Israel was pushed to that point they would absolutley fight alone, anyone remember the 6-day war? Israel fought just about every country in the region and wiped the floor with them. They will fight alone if they have to.
If someone was holding a gun to you would you wait for them to pull the trigger before drawing your own?
edit on 5-8-2011 by StratosFear because: (no reason given)
I do. One almost wonders if this is being engineered.
Originally posted by dontreally
reply to post by backinblack
First, not everyone - especially liberals, which would mean most people - blames "all muslims".. But as a matter of fact, there is justifiable reason to be suspicious of some schools of Islam (both in sunni and Shi'te) because of their beliefs that Islam is destined to take over the world.
Because Islam has historically taught this, and ruthlessly enforced it (ask Hindus, Copts, Armenian Christians, Jews, Russian Orthodox, Kurds etc what its like to deal with Muslims) there is a rational reason to look into it.
However. Israel is a country. American Jews live in America because they prefer America. Not all American Jews are sympathetic of Zionism, and even if they are, they are simply sympathetic towards a national cause. Really not much different from any other form of nationalism.
It has nothing to do with religion, as Islam/Muslims do. A Jew can be religious, or completely secular, or somewhere in between.
Though i am glad you admit to this common sense. Jews/Zionists would be blamed, and historically speaking, Jew hatred comes very naturally to people. We have an ancestoral meme, so to say, of disliking Jews.
In other words, Iran couldn't close the strait of Hormuz long enough to cause your so called global ecenomic collapse 'flight of fancy' and YES it IS very hard to see it happening, impossible in fact. IF and I mean IF Iran are stupid enough to close the Strait of Hormuz, the US will attack with the EU in tow; Israel will get what it wants but everyone will be condemning Iran, not Israel or Zionists, leading me back full circle to NO! killing Zionists will never become a popular sentiment!! As for you having posted it in skunk works because its highly speculative? Props, you got something right
IF and I mean IF Iran are stupid enough to close the Strait of Hormuz, the US will attack with the EU in tow; Israel will get what it wants but everyone will be condemning Iran, not Israel or Zionists, leading me back full circle to NO! killing Zionists will never become a popular sentiment!!
Originally posted by dontreally
reply to post by AtlantisX99
In other words, Iran couldn't close the strait of Hormuz long enough to cause your so called global ecenomic collapse 'flight of fancy' and YES it IS very hard to see it happening, impossible in fact. IF and I mean IF Iran are stupid enough to close the Strait of Hormuz, the US will attack with the EU in tow; Israel will get what it wants but everyone will be condemning Iran, not Israel or Zionists, leading me back full circle to NO! killing Zionists will never become a popular sentiment!! As for you having posted it in skunk works because its highly speculative? Props, you got something right
So its "impossible" now?? Wow. Ok.
So because one analyst said Iran wouldnt have the balls to do it - which they have threatened to do, it is "impossible", as in "Not able to occur, exist, or be done". Seems like a gross exagerration.
I think Iran would do it, especially when you take into regard the religious messianism of its leader Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
According to Islamic Eschatology, the 12th imam can only arrive in a state of Chaos. A chaos Mahmoud Ahmadinjad would be happy to help create.
Before his coming will come the red death and the white death. The red death is the sword and the white death is plague.
You can hardly blame Muslims for thinking that today is the generation in which the Imam will return.
- The Muslims will throw off the reins and take possession of their land, throwing out the authority of the foreigners.
This sort of reminds me of the "Arab Spring".
- There will be a great conflict in the land of Syria, until it is destroyed.
- Death and fear will afflict the people of Baghdad and Iraq. A fire will appear in the sky and a redness will cover them.
IF and I mean IF Iran are stupid enough to close the Strait of Hormuz, the US will attack with the EU in tow; Israel will get what it wants but everyone will be condemning Iran, not Israel or Zionists, leading me back full circle to NO! killing Zionists will never become a popular sentiment!!
I find most users at this site to be anti-Israel and NOT anti-Iran. Although i do think there will exist two different factions. Liberals/Democrats, Israel bashers, anti-semites, Arabs/Muslims, all those who already show an avid or moderate anti-zionism will turn into rabid Jew haters.
Some on the outskirts of such sentiment will probably fall in with that mentality.
Others, Republicans, Evangelical christians, will probably side with Jews and Israel. And so will blame the economic fallout of Israels attack, on Iran - for blocking the strait.
In anycase, how would you feel? If Israel attacked Iran - an idea already very unpopular amongst liberals and conspiracy theorists, wouldnt it make sense to blame Israel, and NOT Iran? Afterall, Iran would merely be keeping true to their original threat.edit on 5-8-2011 by dontreally because: (no reason given)
I find most users at this site to be anti-Israel and NOT anti-Iran. Although i do think there will exist two different factions. Liberals/Democrats, Israel bashers, anti-semites, Arabs/Muslims, all those who already show an avid or moderate anti-zionism will turn into rabid Jew haters. Some on the outskirts of such sentiment will probably fall in with that mentality. Others, Republicans, Evangelical christians, will probably side with Jews and Israel. And so will blame the economic fallout of Israels attack, on Iran - for blocking the strait. In anycase, how would you feel? If Israel attacked Iran - an idea already very unpopular amongst liberals and conspiracy theorists, wouldnt it make sense to blame Israel, and NOT Iran? Afterall, Iran would merely be keeping true to their original threat.
If Israel attacked Iran - an idea already very unpopular amongst liberals and conspiracy theorists, wouldnt it make sense to blame Israel, and NOT Iran? Afterall, Iran would merely be keeping true to their original threat.
I find most users at this site to be anti-Israel and NOT anti-Iran.
Originally posted by backinblack
I find most users at this site to be anti-Israel and NOT anti-Iran.
But wouldn't you agree that there is some justification for that reasoning?
Who have Iran attacked in the last century compared to Israel?
What trouble has Iran caused apart from a little mouthing off?
Would the closing of the straight cripple transport or merely make it more costly and loner to go another route?
Have Iran actually got secret nuclear weapons or even a program to make them as opposed to Israel who have the worst kept secret nuclear weapons program in history and are not shy in telling everyone they would DEFINITELY USE THEM??