posted on Jun, 26 2011 @ 11:50 PM
Many of you will not find my findings interesting if that should be the case, no problem. For those of us who are truly interested in politics,
specifically presidential elections and polling, then this is the thread for you.
I will provide you with all the resources you need to do searches for yourself should you not trust my information. But I promise all of it is
2008 Presidential General Election Results
Obama approval ratings by state
United States of America
2008 Results: 53%
2010 Approval: 47%
Using the difference between the 2008 Presidential Election Results for President Obama and his 2010 average approval rating we get a change of -6%.
Using this -6% as the base figure I will compare each states’ trend in relation to the US national trend which is -6%. What this will show is the
states that are more supportive of Obama since 2008 election and the states which are less supportive of Obama since the 2008 election and by what
margins. The results may surprise you.
District of Columbia
If by this point you still do not understand how I came to these conclusions and what it means please read the explanation below, if you understand
then move on.
*What I did was take Obama’s 2008 election results and his 2010 average approval rating then found the change, which was -6%. I then did the same
thing for each state, I found its 2008 election result for Obama then its 2010 average approval rating for Obama and found the change. Once I found
the change I then found the difference of the states’ change by comparing it to the nation’s change. Let’s use Arkansas for an example:
In 2008 Obama won 39% in the election in Arkansas. His 2010 average approval rating in Arkansas was 39%. That is a change of 0%. Since the nation
changed -6% and Arkansas changed 0% that means Arkansas is 6 points higher than the national change. That means Obama actually has a lower drop in
support than the nation at-large in this state.*
What can we conclude from these findings? We can conclude that Obama has lost more support among the Democratic states, especially upper New England,
than he has among the nation at-large while his drop in support in the South has not been as bad or has even seen more support. So why are the most
liberal states dropping their support of Obama rapidly while the most conservative states have barely dropped support if not gained support? That is a
very difficult question and I do not have the answer.
I found it very interesting to say the least.
What do you think?
10 States with Obama's largest drop in support
2. New Hampshire
4. West Virginia
9. Rhode Island
10 States with Obama's least drop in support/his gain in support
edit on 6/27/2011 by Misoir because: (no reason given)