Okay, lets try this survey question...
Would you choose, as a dinner meal, an uncooked fatty steak?
Hmmm... how many respondents would say yes?
Now ask them the same question except give them one of two choices...the uncooked steak...or a steaming pile of dogs*&t?
I bet you would see those numbers rise for uncooked fatty steak...
This whole "would you vote for Obama" question without specifying what the alternatives are has to be the most loaded BS survey question I have seen
in a decade.
The Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll shows 50% say they would probably or definitely vote for someone else.
Fully 37% say they would definitely cast a ballot against Obama.
Meanwhile, just 39% would vote to re-elect the pres. to a 2nd term, and only 23% say they definitely would do so.
The poll, conducted by Financial Dynamics, surveyed 1,200 adults between Jan. 3-7 for a margin of error of +/- 2.8%.
hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com...
First off…whenever reading poll results for anything, notice language…
in particular adjectives…they are the key indicators showing how the numbers will be spun. My statistics professor taught me this 20 years ago and
it still applies today.
The article says “Fully” 37% say they would vote for someone else…
The article also says "just" 39% would vote to re-elect the pres.
Can you tell me which of those numbers are greater?
But rarely do you see them just saying 37% say they would vote for someone else....not "Fully" or "Just" or "Barely" or "Nearly half"
It's how you SPIN a poll...
Lets take a look at the actual survey and see if we can discern some truth here.
www.nationaljournal.com...
Approval ratings of Obama from Survey….
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And, overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or
somewhat?
TOTAL APPROVE 47%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 45%
-----
Hmmmm… Obama comes out on top...Curious the article didn't mention that? Maybe because it is sponsored by ALLSTATE INSURANCE????
- Okay another question from the survey with results….
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And, in general, who do you trust more to develop solutions to the country’s economic challenges… President Obama OR Republicans in Congress?
President Obama 41%
Republicans in Congress 33%
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- Again Obama on top vs the GOP in the Trust dept. ANother curious ommision in the article.
Okay lets keep going with the survey
----
Thinking back over the
policies that President Obama has pursued over the last 12 months, would you say that the country is…
Not significantly better off yet, but
beginning to move in the right direction because of the policies Obama has pursued 52%
Significantly worse off because of the policies Obama has pursued 31%
Significantly better off because of the policies Obama has pursued 13%
Don’t Know/Refused 3%
----
52% think the country is begining to move in the right direction because of Pres Obama's policies...
----
Had John McCain won the presidency, do you think the policies that he would have pursued over the last 12 months would have left the country in…
About the same shape as it is now under Obama 36%
Worse shape than it is now under Obama 32%
Better shape than it is now under Obama 24%
Don’t Know 8%
----
- Okay…
only 24% of respondents think McCain would have done a better job.
Again...the steak and the DogS*&^ question...this is the results when actual choices are given to respondents.
----
Which of the following best describes your feelings about President Obama?
I like him and like his policies 43%
I like him but dislike his policies 31%
I dislike him but like his policies 3%
I dislike him and dislike his policies 18%
Don’t Know 4%
Refused 1%
----
Okay…well seeing as the actual poll seems to support the POTUS, maybe it was conducted primarily in a Democratic region?
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Region
Region Total
Deep South 21%
Upper Midwest 18%
Pacific 16%
Northeast 10%
Midatlantic 13%
Outer South 9%
Great Plains 7%
Mountain 6%
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Wow…the majority in the deep south? And Obama got this kind of support?...what does that say?
[edit on 15-1-2010 by maybereal11]
