posted on Oct, 20 2008 @ 10:56 PM
reply to post by PowerSlave
Powerslave, I agree. The election is very much up for grabs. I generally give the polls a 6 point margin of error and McCain is within that margin.
The polls generally have an inherent 3 point margin of error, and to this, I add a further 3 points to account for the liberal-lean of the polls.
This year I think is an exception, and the margin could be as much as 10-12 points. Plus there is the unknown factor that I have been hearing is
significant, which is that more cell phones are being reached during polling as opposed to traditional landlines.
I say it is very well possible that things will go either way, and in wild proportions too. Prepare for a wild ride the next two weeks. However, if
nothing too crazy happens in accordance with the subject of the OP, then I give McCain only 10%. The chances of nothing happening however, are slim
in my estimation.
[edit on 20-10-2008 by CVTman]