When you live in the epicenter of an earthquake swarm, as damntheptb and I do, and all the "experts" and seismologists can tell you nothing except
"Well, these quakes could stop as suddenly as they began, or they might be precursors of a larger earthquake."-- you start looking for answers on
your own. Which is what led us to co-author this thread laying out what we've discovered, and also to keep track of the Reno earthquake swarm, as
well as our own personal observations as they pertain to the various earthquake prediction methods we've been researching. Our objective in
exploring various methods of earthquake prediction is simply to be more aware, and if lucky, forewarned. And by forewarned, we mean prepared-- not
panicking and putting our homes on the market.
As it turns out, there are many "alternative" techniques being used, usually in combination, to predict earthquakes.
One intriguing method is geosensology: the study of senses and biological systems as it relates to geologic dynamics or events. What led damntheptb
and I to research this particular alternative method of earthquake prediction is that while comparing notes in e-mail, we noticed similar physical
precursors to the larger EQ's here in the Reno area. It can be said that Charlotte King is the most well-known pioneer of this method of earthquake
prediction. Put simply, while living in the Pacific Northwest, Charlotte began to notice specific physical affects, like headaches, would precede
earthquakes and volcanic events. In time, by keeping track of these biological precursors, she was able to fairly accurately predict these geologic
events. She says that many people are earthquake sensitive, some more than others, but many people simply don't make the connection. According to
Charlotte, earthquake sensitives worldwide, will experience "the same physical symptoms, at the same time, in the same part of their body".
Please visit her website linked below to review the extensive scientific and medical research Charlotte has submitted to in order to better understand
this process she experiences. On her Earthquake Alert Page, you can read how she describes her physical symptoms and correlates them to various
The Charlotte King Effect
Other links on biological earthquake prediction.
Aches to Quakes - Sensitives Who Predict Earthquakes Suffer Pain and Ridicule
Another "alternative" method of earthquake prediction is the study of animal behavior. As you may recall, after the tsunami receded, it was noted
that no dead animals were found. That was because, the locals explained, they sensed the impending wave and fled to higher ground.
Extensive research on animal behavior preceding geologic events has been done in China.
Seismic Sentries Animal Disaster Predictions: Expert Comments
WILD ANIMALS: Animals vacate areas, gather in groups, or enter into human habitated areas prior to incidents. Wild animals that normally avoid
humans will come in close contact with them, sometimes entering into dwellings or barns; Fishing improves in the local area. Zoo and oceanarium
animals will try to escape, refuse to be confined and more! Remember, behavioral changes can occur for a variety of other reasons. CATS: Cats will be
jumpy. You may see warning signs such as hiding, running
around frantically trying to escape to the outside, hanging on screens and meowing, or behavior unusual for your pet. Many times they will be
aggressive, or will want to stick close to or be on top of you. Pacing, hissing, or growling can also be symptoms. Most cats will hide, so check their
favorite hiding places and behind cupboards, refrigerators, sofas, beds, in closets, in the backs of washers and dryers, and on top of cupboards,
shelves and behind the water heater. Check small spaces in the backs of any appliance since they will often seek out dark and small areas.
DOGS: Dogs will usually not hide. Behavior exhibited before quake activity
includes howling, whining, barking, restlessness, aggression, and increased devotion to owners. They will usually run around, and can bolt through
gates, windows, or doors, or stick to you like glue. Some dogs will become more protective or aggressive while others will be fearful or act dejected.
Pay attention to their personalities and individual needs and you will be able to avoid trouble. Drastic differences in the number of advertised lost
dogs and the animal shelter loads can precede quake activity in a specific area. Large increases in these numbers could give you a clue to up coming
HORSES AND LIVESTOCK: Hoofed animals often refuse to enter their barns or pens and often refuse to tie. They tend to group together in open areas, act
nervous, or pace.
OTHER ANIMALS: Caged birds will often hang on their cage, sometimes they
will flap frantically, or they can be abnormally quiet. Breeding birds will often
abandon their eggs or discard them from the nest. Other animals will exhibit
abnormal behavior. Some of the unusual changes are that; Hibernating animals will emerge early (snakes , bears, etc.); Spiders and ants will move
indoors; Rodents will invade the house or if they are in residence will disappear; Wild birds become quiet or are not visible;
WILD ANIMALS: Animals vacate areas, gather in groups, or enter into human habitated areas prior to incidents. Wild animals that normally avoid humans
will come in close contact with them, sometimes entering into dwellings or barns; Fishing improves in the local area. Zoo and oceanarium animals will
try to escape, refuse to be confined and more! Remember, behavioral changes can occur for a variety of other reasons.
It was in the early evening hours of February 4, 1975, when an earthquake of magnitude 7.3 struck the densely populated town of Heicheng, in the
Liaoning Province, in northeast China. As expected, because the magnitude was great and the area highly populated, damage to Haicheng and to
neighboring towns was extensive. However, what was different about this earthquake is that very few lives were lost. The reason for this was that
the occurrence of this earthquake had been successfully predicted.
The prediction was based on a number of geophysical observations of precursor events as well as abnormal animal behavior. In the town of Heicheng,
before the earthquake, wolves were seen running around in packs, dogs were barking unusually, and sparrows were flying around wildly. The most
unusual circumstance of animal behavior was that of snakes that came out of hibernation and froze on the surface in the snow.
See these links for more information on these events and the study of animal behavior.
Earthquake Prediction in China - Monitoring Animal Behavior - by Dr George Pararas
Earthquake Predictors on Yahoo! Pets
Many people also study the behavior of ants as well. Personally, I noticed ants swarming in my back yard the day before our last 3.8 magnitude
earthquake and we will be keeping an eye on their behavior.
Another method used is the study of cloud formations, commonly referred to as earthquake clouds.
'Earthquake Clouds'- For years, considered a mystery to science with an unknown form of genesis, strange cloud formations have been thought to
precede earthquakes. Even ancient Chinese and Italians were aware of unique clouds that gave sign preceding large earthquakes. Sudden formation of
long 'snakes' in the sky, where prior was clear and blue, where the deep earth warns in the sky above - how can this be? Modern science of
earthquake genesis, called 'brittle fracture theory', is sudden fracture of a fault. Yet these clouds form days before earthquakes. How?
See this link for more information and photographs.
Unlocking the mystery of 'Earthquake Clouds' - how
they form & why - Are they accurate in prediction?
I've taken a few photographs myself of strange cloud formations in the skies above northwest Reno, and will put them up on this thread in the near
At the risk of including too much information, in closing we'll include one last link that lists a number of earthquake prediction methods.
CLOUD FORMATION ON THE FAULT LINES
Electromagnetic effects caused by earthquakes and explosions
Ground Water Levels
Chemical Changes in Ground Water
Radon Gas in Ground Water Wells
VLF Background Noise
It seems that many alternative methods of predicting earthquakes are used in combination, with some success.
The main point of our thread here, is not to vouch for the effectiveness of various methods of alternative earthquake prediction.
Our objective here is to outline a few of these unconventional methods of earthquake prediction and log our own personal observations here as well,
more or less as an on-going experiment, since we both live practically on the epicenter of the Reno earthquake swarm. As we noted, it's not like the
scientists have much to offer us in the way of answers, so what have we got to lose?
[edit: fixed links]
[edit on 21-5-2008 by 12m8keall2c]