I'm reading that as of yesterday afternoon, foreign holdings of Treasuries in Fed custodial accounts actually perked a bit after falling for 4
consecutive weeks. On the other hand, foreign central banks continued to reduce their holdings of 'U.S. agency debt'...so in the end, foreigners
remained net sellers of U.S. securities (all types). If the debt ratio continues off-kilter, the only fix is the printing press.
Gold this week has more to do with the Dollar than with the Chinese buying 'Lucky Balls', or Indians ramping-up for festival & wedding season. Gold
usually gets a seasonal push from Asian holiday buying, but not necessarily a large, sustainable push (see 2006). Higher Gold prices and
volatility can dampen Asian holiday buying. On top of this, it has become a pattern to see Gold rise overnight in the Asian markets, only to be
bushwhacked an hour or so into the U.S. markets. The economic powers-that-be have a sincere stake in capping the price of Gold as an honest inflation
indicator.
What we're seeing this month is a reduction in commercial short-of-gold contracts, a large increase in open interest longs, and Gold ETF's
increasing their holdings to record highs. One report yesterday described a short-of-Gold COMEX pit trader wandering the floor in tears...calling for
mommy! I wish it were true
Basically, an escallating price of Gold =
a vote of no confidence in the U.S. Dollar.
Bazillion$ have entered the system in the last few weeks, and the markets have priced-in a rate cut. How long before this monetary inflation
translates to price inflation. Oil is up again, and grain futures recently went parabolic