PLAN 2005, page 4
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reply posted on 18-4-2005 @ 01:18 PM by Daedalus3
gentlewomen this is the epitome of grandiose delusion is the para below from the article link given above..

Astutely and very covertly, Van Riper armed his civilian marine craft and deployed them near the US fleet, which never expected an attack from small pleasure boats. Faced with a blunt US ultimatum to surrender, Force Red suddenly went on the offensive: and achieved complete tactical surprise. Force Red's prop-driven aircraft suddenly were swarming around the US warships, making Kamikaze dives. Some of the pleasure boats made suicide attacks. Others fired Silkworm cruise missiles from close range, and sunk a carrier, the largest ship in the US fleet, along with two helicopter-carriers loaded with marines. The sudden strike was reminiscent of the Al Qaeda sneak attack on the USS Cole in 2000. Yet, the Navy was unprepared. When it was over, most of the US fleet had been destroyed. Sixteen US warships lay on the bottom, and the rest were in disarray. Thousands of American sailors were dead, dying, or wounded.


1. No carrier fleet (don't know abt USN) will ignore ANY kind of vessel deployed within its awareness field.. ESPECIALLY not when it is deployed in a war-like situation...lol..cruise boats.. prop driven aircraft..sure the carrier would just allow such vessels to mingle with the fleet..
I don't know about the USN but atleast for IN carriers the awareness/strike zone extends to 1000km while the clean zone extends to 200-250km..
The clean zone is devoid of ANY unauthorised activity..
And I'm sure, wartime radii are extended to 300km..(to incorporate firing ranges of anti-ship missiles).
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2. Abt loading cruise boats with cruise missles..I'd like to see a schematic/blueprint of that!!..The missiles would have to be launched from the hull.. any surface structure would give it all away..
And launching CRUISE MISSILES from the hull of a CRUISE BOAT is well an engg. feat in its own.
The size of those silkworm cruise missiles and those cruise boats would be nice to know..
Again just a single or couple of cruise missiles will not sink a carrier.. only incapacitate it...
You need to destroy at least 40% of all buoyancy devices to overwhelm the anit-sink measures/drills/procedures in place..


What is this absence of common sense prevalent on ATS nowadays??
tsk tsk..


[edit on 18-4-2005 by Daedalus3]


reply posted on 21-4-2005 @ 05:38 AM by Taishyou
Why the heck would they sent farmers in banana boats against carriers. Maybe some third world country would, but the PLA possesses something called the anti-ship missile . It is capable of flying many hundreds of km autonomously towards an enemy ship then blow itself up.

On a more serious note, if the PLA is really going to go up against a US CVBG, they would try overwhelming its Aegis systems with a large barrage of anti-ship missiles and also some of those
J-5-turned-suicide-UAVs.

Maybe send a whole squadron of JH-7s and Su-30MK2s. The J-5-turned-suicide-UAVs will first move in to distract fighters flying CAP. The Su-30 MK2s will take on the fighters. At the same time, the JH-7s can launch their YJ-82 missiles or maybe even YJ-12 missiles (if they are developed by that time). The CVBG will be forced to engage the incoming anti ship missiles, but at the same time, the Su-30MK2s will launch their Kh-31P anti-radiation missiles, so the CVBG will be faced with a difficult choice: to continue engaging the YJ-82s and get the radar blown by the very fast Kh-31Ps, or turn off their radars to spoof the Kh-31Ps but allow the slower YJ-82s continue approaching until they're dangerously close, and then engage (by then it would be difficult). Or they can engage the Kh-31Ps if they detect them, which would also be very difficult. Any surviving J-5-turned-suicide-UAVs also carry out their suicide attacks.

Hell, there are coutless tactics the PLAN or PLAAF can use. Why in the world would they resort to using farmers in bananna boats when they got all those advanced weapons at their disposal. It doesn't take a general to think of something smarter.

[edit on 21-4-2005 by Taishyou]


reply posted on 21-4-2005 @ 01:28 PM by Daedalus3
Those Su-30Mk2s and J-(?) have a refueling non refueling range of how much??
Also we must consider that those Js esp are being loaded with heavy anti-ship missiles so that'll reduce their range to much lesser..

Still the point being made here is no vague scenarios as mentioned in that rense article should be considered..
I found that passage to be riddled with inconsistencies and engg. impossibilities

An aerial attack on a carrier, a swarm type thing as mentioned by taishyou, may work if co-od properly and esp if the attack plan is kept flexible (no fixed orders, so tactics maybe changed based on onsite battle conditions).
Fixed tactics on such daring missions tend to not go according to plan and if there's no central co-od party then the pilots may go into disarray.
This requires the aerial attack force to have continuous comm either with one or more tactical ground stations and/or an airborne AWACS platform.
The problem with this is that the USN may intercept these comms before hand thus the PLAAF/PLANAF losing its surprise edge..
Summary: Very tricky to have a flexible attack strat and keep it secret at the same time..

Nevertheless even if this works, I can't imagine more than half dozen jets (the Js and not the Su30s) getting into range to take a shot at the carrier..
Which means sinking it will again be extremely difficult..
Incapacitating the deck and or the propulsion may be achievable.. but sinking a carrier is still IMHO v.v. difficult


reply posted on 21-4-2005 @ 01:38 PM by rogue1
Originally posted by Taishyou
of km autonomously towards an enemy ship then blow itself up.

On a more serious note, if the PLA is really going to go up against a US CVBG, they would try overwhelming its Aegis systems with a large barrage of anti-ship missiles and also some of those
J-5-turned-suicide-UAVs.

Maybe send a whole squadron of JH-7s and Su-30MK2s. The J-5-turned-suicide-UAVs will first move in to distract fighters flying CAP. The Su-30 MK2s will take on the fighters. At the same time, the JH-7s can launch their YJ-82 missiles or maybe even YJ-12 missiles (if they are developed by that time). The CVBG will be forced to engage the incoming anti ship missiles, but at the same time, the Su-30MK2s will launch their Kh-31P anti-radiation missiles, so the CVBG will be faced with a difficult choice: to continue engaging the YJ-82s and get the radar blown by the very fast Kh-31Ps, or turn off their radars to spoof the Kh-31Ps but allow the slower YJ-82s continue approaching until they're dangerously close, and then engage (by then it would be difficult). Or they can engage the Kh-31Ps if they detect them, which would also be very difficult. Any surviving J-5-turned-suicide-UAVs also carry out their suicide attacks.


Well this all supposes that these planes can even get within range of a carrier. Let's see, there would be what 4 fighter wings and hundreds of SM-2/3 SAM's on the carrier escorts. These attacking planes and UAV's would be engaged hundreds of km from the carrier. The Chinese would lose far too many aircraft to make it worth their while and even then they wouldn't be guaranteed of causing significant damage to the carrier itself.

The US counterattack would be interesting possibly an immediate wave of Tomahawks and Slammers to hit the airbases where the surviving planes may try and land
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