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The next primaries are to take place in Arizona, Alaska, Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
According to Silver, Bernie Sanders has a 75 percent chance of winning Idaho, 82 percent for Utah, 91 percent for Alaska and 81 percent and 85 percent for Hawaii and Washington respectively.
Silver believes that in Wisconsin Bernie has a 61 percent chance of winning and his chance in Wyoming is at 81 percent while he is not certain about Arizona, but currently rates Bernie's chance at around 40 percent.
Hillary Clinton now leads Bernie Sanders by five points nationally, 50 percent to 45 percent, ahead by slightly less than last month
The poll findings suggest an "enthusiasm gap:" while 56 percent of Democratic primary voters would enthusiastically support Sanders if he wins the nomination, just 40 percent say the same if Clinton should win. Still, both Clinton and Sanders would receive widespread support from Democratic primary voters should either become the nominee; just one in ten would not support each candidate.
And each side's supporters say they would support the other candidate: among Sanders' supporters, 19 percent say they would not support Clinton, while just 11 percent of Clinton's supporters would not support Sanders
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton register net negative ratings in double digits, indicating the front-runners for each party's presidential nominations are viewed negatively at historic levels, according to a new CBS/New York Times poll.
That makes Trump and Clinton viewed more unfavorably than any front-runner for either party since 1984, when CBS began polling voters on the question.
On the Republican side, Trump scores a net negative of -33, with a favorable rating of 24% compared to 57% of voters who view him unfavorably. On the Democratic side, Clinton fares only slightly better with a net negative of -21, registering a 31% favorable rating and a 52% unfavorable rating, according to the poll.
he rewrote is formula for predicting elections after the Sanders upset in Michigan. His new formula predicts some solid wins for Sen Sanders the next few weeks.
In the 2008 U.S. presidential elections, Silver successfully called the outcome in 49 of the 50 states and was named one of ''The World’s 100 Most Influential People'' by Time in 2009.
originally posted by: AlaskanDad
a reply to: Gothmog
Interesting; since day one I have been told by the pundits and the internet that HRC had won, the reason being the Super Delegates. HRC and DWS set up a good first half for a HRC win, not only with the Super Delegates, but HRC's strongest states voted in the first half. Quite simply there was an all out attempt to make Sen Sanders look unelectable and lower turnout in his strongest states!
Sen. Sanders is still in the game, and HRC is being investigated by four federal agencies.
Feel the Bern!