* SEVERE WEATHER ALERT * Tornado Outbreak; Severe Storms Likely - South & Ohio Valley

Tornado Outbreak; Severe Storms Likely - South & Ohio Valley

Happy Holidays, ATS!

This post is concerning the potential for an extremely dangerous weather scenario that is currently developing in parts of the Ohio Valley and Southern United States.


23 December 2015 - Day1 Convective Outook

...SUMMARY...
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES IS FORECAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS.
THE GREATEST RISK FOR A FEW INTENSE...LONG-TRACKED TORNADOES WILL EXIST OVER WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND EASTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

www.spc.noaa.gov...

www.spc.noaa.gov...

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Severe thunderstorms have already caused structural damage and destroyed homes this morning in Arkansas, and the threat will only increase and become more widespread in parts of the South and Ohio Valley through this afternoon as a likely tornado outbreak gets underway.

The Tornado Conditions Index, better known as TOR:CON, has been raised to as high as 8 out of 10 for parts of west Tennessee, northern Mississippi and northern Alabama on Wednesday, meaning there's a 80 percent chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any location in the indicated area. Tornadoes and damaging winds will also be possible in a much larger area from the Gulf Coast to the Ohio Valley. This includes TOR:CON values as high as 7 in eastern Arkansas, 6 in west Kentucky and south Mississippi, and 5 in southeast Missouri and northeast Louisiana.

www.weather.com...

This is a developing situation, so as always - be sure to stay up to date on any watches and/or warnings if you live in these areas.

This is a rather precarious event, being so close to Christmas
- so all the best to those at the mercy of Nature.

Tornado Warnings and Watches are already in effect.

Updates and more links will follow. Be safe.
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TVN - Live Storm Chasing

a reply to: iunlimited491

Thank you for the update on Arkansas...



Reason: we in middle TN seem to often get what Arkansas get!

Crazy weather this late in the year, stay safe.

I`m just SW of Little Rock. The dew point just started dropping, so I think this area is just about done with the threat.

We had some minor flooding, and lots of hail, but wind didn`t get over 35mph sustained here. Gusts not much higher than that.

There are power outages in many areas....www.etrviewoutage.com...

Just a report from this part of AR.


Stay safe!!!!

Have seen several tornado warning scroll across my twitter feed. The "target" keeps shifting east. Knoxville is now in the "damage likely" zone. West of Knoxville is the worst in Tennessee with a torcon of 8.

Hate to see damaging weather anytime, but especially like this, just before Christmas. Could be a lot of disappointed kids in a couple days.

Christmas tornadoes? I grew up in the Midwest, this seems extremely late.
Please be safe everyone! Best of luck to you all.

It is 66 degrees here west of Arkansas Can we just blame this on 'global warming'? /sarc





stay safe over there y'all

The NWS has issued a PDS Particularly Dangerous Situation on Tornado Watch 559:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 559

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL 800 PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE...
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE...

www.spc.noaa.gov...

a reply to: iunlimited491

Wind is picking up here in the middle of Hellinois. Supposed to get ugly around two. Possible tornadoes.

Stay safe all.

Thanks Everyone -

I'm posting the TVN Live Storm Chasing Link

^which I have also edited into the OP.

The "watch" area is quite large IMO.

NWS

I just used Memphis as reference.



The predicted timing for my neighbors. Hopefully everyone can get home and settled in before the BIG stuff comes. If at all!


I've been keeping an eye on this chart as well since early morning...



The damaging wind and tornado threat has increased.
The damaging wind was about 1/2 way.
The tornado was barely in the yellow.
Earlier...be vigilant!

Regarding the PDS that was issued moments ago and posted above: Link

A "particularly dangerous situation" (PDS) tornado watch has been issued by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for parts eastern Arkansas, northwest Mississippi, northeast Louisiana and western Tennessee until 8 p.m. CST.

This type of tornado watch is issued in rare situations when long-lived intense tornadoes are likely, according to the SPC.

www.weather.com...

National Radar Loop - 23 December 2015
www.intellicast.com...

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Live Updates and Storm Reports:
twitter.com/FEMAlive/lists/happening-now

TORNADO CURRENTLY ON THE GROUND CLARKSDALE, MS

CAN BE VIEWED LIVE HERE: tvnweather.com...

. A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 345 PM CST for
southeastern Coahoma County...

at 309 PM CST... a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Clarksdale... moving northeast at 55 mph.

This is a particularly dangerous situation.

Hazard... damaging tornado.

Source... storm chasers confirmed tornado.

Impact... you are in a life threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to
homes... businesses and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

a reply to: iunlimited491
Screen grab from that storm

a reply to: hillbilly4rent

Nice! Thanks for posting...

I just grabbed one myself...


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MULTIPLE Tornado Warnings going on right now.

Looks like a wedge and a dangerous situation.

a reply to: iunlimited491

It's supposed to be 78° and storming all day this Christmas down here.

Those cells rolled through here last night. I don't get waken up by thunder often, but it woke me up last night. NW LA.

Major damage in Clarksdale Ms.