posted on Jun, 14 2015 @ 08:42 PM
Here is the problem Russia is having. It can not maintain a long term war in Ukraine. Russia's active forces number under 800,000. Quite a bit
smaller than the US but, a good number you would think. Enough to deal with Ukraine. The problem is this. Only 280,000 members of Russia's
militarily are professionals. The remainder are 1 year conscripts. Of that one year 3 months is training. They train only as basic infantry.
In the US and most of the West the active forces are ready to go all the time. In places like Russia most units are not. They have a readiness more
like the US National Guard, they need time to get up speed and prepared to go into combat. The conscripts play a huge role in this problem. They
really need the remaining time 9 months out of a year for some real training with their units but, because of budget problems and corruption that
So this brings us to Ukraine. Russia has thus far used it elite units in Ukraine (these are units where most of Russia professional forces are).
However, those forces are vital to for the defense of Russia from any other external or internal threat. Being in Ukraine has damaged their readiness
along with casualties they can not afford. So they have to come out. They can not send in most units because not only are the conscripts not combat
ready nor do they have enough service time left to be sent and professionals only make a tiny part of the unit. In theory with a big war coming those
units would be train up to speed while the conscripts terms would be extended. They can not do this for Ukraine because Russia is pretending the are
not involved. So Russia is, oddly enough running out of man power.
Russia's options are keep the elite units in as hope nothing goes wrong anywhere else or declare and official war and extend the conscripts terms.
Now you may ask yourself why would Russia run its military this way? The truth is it is cheap. Russia maintains a large military and also has to try
and keep up with the West in terms of weapons tech. So without any major threats on its borders Russia's sees future conflicts remaining as limited
military actions in former Soviet Republics. It does not see China or NATO attacking it out of the blue, so any major conflict Russia would end up in
would be of its own making and thus it would have time to prepare. So it takes the cheap route as many countries do. Ukraine however is wrecking
that model and Russia will again have to look at some way to reform its military.