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Originally posted by Netchicken
So would it be so easy to defeat a nation of 188 million + people if America and the western world were occupied elsewhere, and some / most of Australia's military were helping them? Or would Indonesia seeing a golden opportunity whilst another war is running be able to walk in and take over without people being able to stop them?
Originally posted by sminkeypinkey
- I don't think they have the ability, equipment or desire Netchicken.
I also could easily see the UK coming to Austrailia's aid and Jakarta (Indonesia's capital) being told in no uncertain terms that if they did not desist and withdraw from any such attack immeadiately (and open negotiations on reparations due from such an unprovoked attack) then they could expect the UK to start warming-up Tridents until they saw sense.
I cannot see any circumstances in which the 'western world' would tolerate the 'fall' of Austrailia.
Kith and kin and all that.
If it were allowed to stand the economic repercussions alone would probably spark off a prolonged global slump.
IMO it ain't going to happen; ever.
Originally posted by The_Camel
True ..... the 42/43 invasion route was halted .... at great cost on the Kakoda Trail and on Guadal Canal. However, with an ill equiped PNG defence force (3000 total) any hope of holding Port Morsby in 2005 would be futile should even a small Indo Force invade and thats if they had time to prepare. A small combined Ampbious/Air assault on Morsby to secure the Airport and and port facilities prior to any official declaration of hostilities would not be out of the question. Also a couple small assault groups to secure and hold Lae, Rabual, Bougainville and Henderson Air Field on Guadal Canal could quite possibly give the Indos the initial upper hand.
I cant see the US rushing to assist Aust and NZ in any event. They are fairly tightly commited as it is.One more war zone to commit to would certainly bring back the draft ...... and the citizens dont exactly back what there fighting now, so we'd certainly see some dramatic shift State side. Like Katrina and Wilma ..... we'd be expected to go it alone initially. I do believe however that the Poms would lend some form assistance. What? I dont know?
What if ..... the Indos just made a concerted effort to cross the east Timorese Border and lets say major incursions along the Northern PNG coast along from Iran Jaya (ecucse spelling) No amount of air or naval asset are going to shift em. It'll be down to the RAR and RNZIR guys. And I have no doubt that it would be anything like what we saw in 1999-2002
Should the Indos obtain some kind of finacial, political and military backing from a couple of Nations to 'there' north then we'd be in some kind of strife. Sure, we'd eventually kick a bit of butt ..... but could you imagine the backlash should we be forced to re-fight the battle of Kakoda again? Or be resonsible for re-securing Guadal Canal without US Marines help this time?
Lot of good young blokes. I doubt both countries would tolerate 100's let alone 1000's of ANZAC casualties in 2005/2006
Scary thought ..... lets hope Helen the Destroyer reads history and buys a couple Sqd's of Harriers or Tornadoes to help fill the deterent swimming pool of Military hardware now available in Aust.