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originally posted by: Edumakated
originally posted by: OccamsRazor04
a reply to: Breakthestreak
Still waiting on that source of 0.05% mortality.
Go look at # of deaths.
Multiply number of confirmed cases by at least 5, if 10'xs. There is your death rate.
You cannot use "confirmed" cases because the number is lower than actual number of cases and doing that would inflate the mortality rate. In NY, CA, and other places there have been studies showing the actual infected rate to be far higher than the confirmed cases because as others have pointed out... for 99% of the population that isn't 100 years old and morbidly obese, catching covid is no worse than a cold.
and in the end will cause much more damage than Covid-19 would have.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: OccamsRazor04
and in the end will cause much more damage than Covid-19 would have.
We've seen meat packing plants closed down because too many workers were infected even with mitigation. Do you think other industries are immune?
The fact is, there is no way to know what the economic impact of an unmitigated pandemic would have been, because it has been mitigated.
Sounds like stereotyping to me.
It's very possible the people at meat packing plants, that live in tight knit communities with many people under the same roof, got sick in the community.
I don't recall that being the position taken by...anyone.
We have businesses still open, not everyone is dying.
I don't recall that the purpose of the "lockdown" was to stop infections, but to limit them.
The evidence shows it's possible 1.8 million people in NYC along were infected despite the lockdown.
originally posted by: Phage Sounds like stereotyping to me.
No. I just repeated what you wrote.
Then you are looking for something intentionally.
It's very possible the people at meat packing plants, that live in tight knit communities with many people under the same roof, got sick in the community.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: Edumakated
You are using the accumulated number of positive tests as a "base", correct? This includes numbers from when testing was at even lower levels that it is now, correct? What about deaths that occurred at that time? People who died at home?
Take your death number.. covid positive. Throw in a few more that may not have been tested. Which we already know the govt has been doing.
Until there is a negligible number of unresolved cases the CFR cannot be reliably determined. There are still a non-negligible number of unresolved cases. We don't know what the actually case fatality rate is and we won't for some time.
That is the point.
In the meantime, as more people get sick, more people will be hospitalized and more people will die.
Now here is where you screwed up in the article. The article is bashing Trump for what may have been said back on Feb 26. Now let me ask you... What was every Governor, members of the House, big city Mayors all saying up to about March 15? THE SAME DAMN THING OR WORST!!
despite Trump going so far as to cancel all international flights,
despite Trump going so far as to cancel all international flights,