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How do you know this?
It does not include people who are undecided either.
originally posted by: matafuchs
43% of registered democrats 'polled' say they would vote for him.
originally posted by: MystikMushroom
Did anyone go to the article? Did anyone catch this?
Hm...so on the left we have Republicans that support Trump, the darker the more support.
On the right we have areas where racially charged internet searches are most common, the darker the more common.
Anyone seeing any kind of pattern here?
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: matafuchs
How do you know this?
It does not include people who are undecided either.
I just noticed something though. For the 33% who favor Trump:
Unregistered: 40%
Republican: 29%
Independant: 36%
Democrat: 43%
See anything odd?
What’s amazing is that polls at this point in the campaign are no more predictive than a January-to-June polling average from the year before the primary. The predictive margin of error is the same, as is the correlation between the national polls and the result.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: matafuchs
How do you know this?
It does not include people who are undecided either.
I just noticed something though. For the 33% who favor Trump:
Unregistered: 40%
Republican: 29%
Independant: 36%
Democrat: 43%
See anything odd?
originally posted by: Aazadan
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: matafuchs
How do you know this?
It does not include people who are undecided either.
I just noticed something though. For the 33% who favor Trump:
Unregistered: 40%
Republican: 29%
Independant: 36%
Democrat: 43%
See anything odd?
I don't know where you come from, but around these parts there is 148% in the whole.
originally posted by: Aazadan
a reply to: matafuchs
Furthermore, it's true that, Trump is popular but if you read the article you linked you'll see that his popularity is not the type that wins a national election. Pretty much the entire article explains that he's polling best with a specific group (poorly educated racists)
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: matafuchs
How do you know this?
It does not include people who are undecided either.
I just noticed something though. For the 33% who favor Trump:
Unregistered: 40%
Republican: 29%
Independant: 36%
Democrat: 43%
See anything odd?
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: Vector99
Because it doesn't explain how a total of 148% can be reached. If anything it would indicate a total of less than 100%.
But I thought you put no validity on the poll anyway.
*Only for the 31 states where voters can choose to register with a party.
On the contrary, I am questioning the analysis provided.
I don't, and you said you would prefer the raw data yourself, but you're running with it otherwise.
originally posted by: Blackmarketeer
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: matafuchs
How do you know this?
It does not include people who are undecided either.
I just noticed something though. For the 33% who favor Trump:
Unregistered: 40%
Republican: 29%
Independant: 36%
Democrat: 43%
See anything odd?
You're asking Trump supporters to do math - no fair!
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: Vector99
That is not an explanation of how a total of 148% can be arrived at.
I'm really curious about this, there could well be an explanation but that is not it.
Mr. Trump’s share of the vote among self-identified Republicans
Donald Trump fares best among registered Democrats and those with little chance of voting in 2016.
The Civis estimates are based on interviews with more than 11,000 Republican-leaning respondents since August
Civis Analytics estimates for candidate support among Republican general election voters.