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originally posted by: soficrow
a reply to: Serdgiam
Thanks. I greatly appreciate and respect your efforts to sort through misunderstandings and keep the dialogue going.
....I doubt we can fix the problems now facing humanity -and our planet- without going Open Source-Open Access on virtually every science. Which includes all the health and disaster data that insurers use for their actuarial reports.
....Their study showed that the strain responsible for the West African outbreak separated from a closely related strain found in Central Africa as early as 2004, indicating movement from Central to West Africa over the span of a decade. Studying RNA changes occurring over the span of the outbreak suggests that the first human infection of the outbreak was followed by exclusive human to human transmissions.
While analyzing the genetic makeup of the Ebola samples, Dr. Sabeti and colleagues discovered a number of mutations that arose as the outbreak spread. Some of these mutations, termed nonsynonymous mutations, alter the biological state of the virus and may allow it to continually and rapidly adapt to human immune defenses as the outbreak continues.
originally posted by: WeAreAWAKE
Got a joke for you! So an ISIS terrorist group goes to Africa and contracts ebola. They board a plane to South America and quickly travel across the Mexican border into the USA. They travel around and spread the disease as a terrorist attack. Others then follow suit. Ummm...sorry...did I say joke? I meant plan! What terrorist hasn't considered this, especially since they are willing to die to kills us.
The overall fatality rate is 52%, the WHO said, ranging from 42% in Sierra Leone to 66% in Guinea.
originally posted by: new_here
a reply to: soficrow
The overall fatality rate is 52%, the WHO said, ranging from 42% in Sierra Leone to 66% in Guinea.
They left out a crucial word... ESTIMATED! It may seem like a small thing, an obvious thing, but people are taking their percentages as factual, if not very very close to it. The truth is (by their own admission) the number of infected is unknown, as is the number of those who have died from it. (People dump dead bodies in the streets in some areas, or bury them and don't tell the authorities, not to mention the entire village that is quarantined, and those who escape quarantine- so who's keeping count?)
They simply cannot accurately solve this equation with those two unknown variables! The best analogy I can think of, is a drug company saying a new medicine they tested has a 52% cure rate, but they don't know how many people they tested, and how many people were cured.
So, to me, their statistics are categorically meaningless, unless they clearly state "based on documented infections and death rate of that same sampling." They must skirt this, otherwise they must admit... 'we don't know how fatal this is.'
I just wanted to throw that out there for the good of the group.
originally posted by: ThePublicEnemyNo1
a reply to: new_here
Here's what I know and I continue to tell those I love:
People get sick
People get sick and travel
People get sick and travel and get others sick
THINK ABOUT THAT and LET THAT MARINATE. Take as long as you need, just know...the clocks a tickin'!